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Major League Soccer

St. Louis City - Sporting KC

07/17/2026, 12:30 AM

3 : 2
预期进球
St. Louis City
1.6
Total xG
2.5
Sporting KC
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:0

12%

2:0

11%

0:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
SLCSK

St. Louis City

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
-0.58
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.51
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.26
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.08
状态上升 (1.4 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.08
Chris Durkin替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.6球 vs 总体1.1球)

Sporting KC

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.42倍)
-0.93
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.43
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.12
状态上升 (1.4 vs 1 赛季平均)
+0.12
客场表现不佳 (场均0.6球 vs 总体1球)
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.81
+0.81
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

54%

平局

28%

客胜

19%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

81%

客胜或平局

46%

非平局

72%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Home strength vs away weakness: St. Louis City concedes only 0.7 goals at home, while Sporting KC allows a massive 4.4 goals per game away
  • Tactical offensive drive: Sporting KC averaged 6.6 shots on target in recent matches
  • Mathematical edge: The prediction model calculates a 54% probability for a St. Louis City home victory
风险因素
  • Starting goalkeeper missing: Roman Bürki is out injured, forcing Ben Lundt to start with only 1 season appearance
  • Rising offensive trend for the visitors: Sporting KC currently scores more frequently, averaging 1.4 goals compared to their season average of 1.0
概述

St. Louis City (12th place, 16 points) faces Sporting KC (15th place, 11 points)

Major League Soccer match on July 17, 2026, 2:30 AM at Energizer Park

A key clash in the lower half of the table

The hosts enter this home game as favorites

近期状态

St. Louis City has a form of LWWDW

Most recently they secured a 3-0 win against Austin

Sporting KC shows a form of DLWWL

Their last match ended in a 1-2 defeat against New York RB

Both teams show a positive form trend according to advancedStats

统计数据

St. Louis City averages 1.14 goals scored and 1.43 goals conceded this season

At home, their defense is solid, conceding only 0.7 goals per game

Sporting KC concedes an average of 2.57 goals per game this season

Their defense is extremely vulnerable away from home, conceding 4.4 goals per game

The visitors average exactly 1.0 goals scored per away game

历史交锋

5 head-to-head matches in history

Even record with 1 win for each team and 3 draws

The goal difference in these matches stands at 9-9

The last encounter on May 15, 2025 ended in a 2-2 draw

关键球员

Marcel Hartel leads the hosts with 3 goals and 1 assist, carrying a 7.64 rating

Daniel Ethan Edelman scored 1 goal and provided 2 assists (6.94 rating)

Sang-bin Jeong has recorded 1 goal and 1 assist (6.75 rating)

For the visitors, Dejan Joveljić stands out with 6 goals and 1 assist (6.98 rating)

Calvin Harris has contributed 2 goals and 3 assists so far (6.78 rating)

Manu García completes the attack with 1 goal and 3 assists (7.02 rating)

门将

Ben Lundt is in goal for St. Louis City, holding a rating of 7.06 after 1 game

Stefan Cleveland guards the net for Sporting KC, averaging a 6.73 rating in 5 matches

St. Louis City has recorded 2 clean sheets this season, while Sporting KC is yet to keep a clean sheet

影响因素

St. Louis City benefits from home advantage, conceding only 0.7 goals per game at Energizer Park

Matches at Energizer Park have averaged 3.4 goals per game this season

Both teams scored and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4 out of 5 home matches

The match will be played on natural grass

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