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Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake - Minnesota United

08/16/2026, 01:30 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
Real Salt Lake
1.5
Total xG
2.8
Minnesota United
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
RSLMU

Real Salt Lake

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.60
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.40
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.23
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.15
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
-0.15
Zavier Gozo未进大名单 (6球, 4助攻)
19%进球产出缺失 (仅75%可用)

Minnesota United

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.14
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.07
Kelvin Yeboah替补席 (8球, 0助攻)
35%进球产出缺失 (仅84%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.72
+0.72
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

28%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

72%

双方进球

是

58%

否

42%

关键因素
  • Not nominated: Zavier Gozo (6 goals, 4 assists)
  • Not nominated: Kelvin Yeboah (8 goals)
  • Tactical aspect: Minnesota averaged 5.6 shots on target in recent matches compared to 4.0 for Real Salt Lake
风险因素
  • Form trend: Both teams display a negative trend in recent performances
  • Head-to-head record: Real Salt Lake has failed to win any of the last five matches against Minnesota
  • Away defense: Minnesota United concedes an average of 1.58 goals in away matches
概述

Real Salt Lake hosts Minnesota United at America First Field

Major League Soccer match on August 16, 2026, 3:30 AM

The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 40%

近期状态

Real Salt Lake holds a WDLLD form with one win and two draws in five matches

Minnesota United features a LDLDD form and remains winless in their last five matches

Both teams show a negative trend in their recent form

统计数据

Real Salt Lake scores 1.64 goals and concedes 0.73 goals per game at home on average

Minnesota United averages 1.08 goals scored and 1.58 goals conceded away from home

Both teams scored in 13 out of 17 matches played by Real Salt Lake

历史交锋

Five head-to-head matches have been recorded in recent history

Minnesota United secured two wins while three matches ended in a draw

The last direct meeting ended in a 1:1 draw

关键球员

Sergi Solans has recorded seven goals and three assists this season

Diego Luna has contributed four goals and one assist so far

Joaquín Pereyra is the top playmaker for the visitors with six assists

门将

Rafael Cabral kept two clean sheets this season

Drake Callender recorded five clean sheets so far

影响因素

An average of 3.2 goals per game were scored on the grass pitch of America First Field

Real Salt Lake capitalizes on home advantage with only eight goals conceded in eleven home games

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