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Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers - San Diego

08/20/2026, 02:30 AM

3 : 1
预期进球
Portland Timbers
1.5
Total xG
2.7
San Diego
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
PTSD

Portland Timbers

小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.19
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.18
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
+0.18
Antony替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)

San Diego

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.22
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
-0.22
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.18
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.18
Anders Dreyer未进大名单 (8球, 7助攻)
43%进球产出缺失 (仅63%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体1.7球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

29%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

71%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Offensive form curve: Portland currently scores an average of 2.4 goals per match which is higher than their season average of 1.8
  • Tactical dominance: Portland averaged 5.4 shots on target and 58% possession in recent matches
  • Away vulnerability: San Diego concedes an average of 2.8 goals per away game
风险因素
  • Absence of Anders Dreyer severely weakens San Diego with only 63% of their usual goal threat available
  • San Diego's attacking slump with an average of only 1.0 goals in recent matches compared to 1.7 on the season
概述

Portland Timbers host San Diego in Major League Soccer

Match on August 20, 2026, 2:30 AM at Providence Park

Clash of table neighbors with Portland in 11th place and San Diego in 10th

Both teams currently have 24 points

近期状态

Portland Timbers with form WDWWL and 3 wins from the last 5 matches

San Diego shows form LLWDW with 2 wins and 2 losses

The recent trend favors Portland with an upward form curve

San Diego has recently shown a declining trend

统计数据

Portland scores an average of 1.79 goals and concedes 1.84 goals this season

San Diego averages 1.74 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded per match

Away from home San Diego concedes an extremely high average of 2.8 goals per game

In home matches Portland scores an average of 1.82 goals

历史交锋

There have been 5 head-to-head matches between the teams

San Diego has recorded 1 win while Portland has taken 3 wins

The last meeting ended in a 2:1 victory

A total of 18 goals have been scored in these direct matchups

关键球员

Kevin Kelsy is Portland's most dangerous attacker with 9 goals this season

Kristoffer Velde impresses with 4 goals and 4 assists in midfield

For San Diego Marcus Ingvartsen stands out as top scorer with 11 goals

Onni Valakari contributes 3 goals and 3 assists

门将

James Pantemis guards the Portland goal and has kept 1 clean sheet so far

CJ dos Santos plays for San Diego and features a strong season rating of 7.1

San Diego has recorded a total of 6 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf at Providence Park

Portland has a home record of 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses on this surface

The venue history shows high-scoring games with an average of 4.0 goals per match

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