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Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps - Houston Dynamo

08/20/2026, 02:30 AM

0 : 1
预期进球
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.9
Total xG
2.8
Houston Dynamo
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
VWHD

Vancouver Whitecaps

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.84
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
-0.10
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.57倍)
+0.06
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.02
Brian White未进大名单 (10球, 2助攻)
Thomas Müller替补席 (6球, 2助攻)
Jeevan Badwal未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
46%进球产出缺失 (仅62%可用)

Houston Dynamo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.89
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.38
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.10
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.10
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.10
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.5球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

61%

平局

24%

客胜

15%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

85%

客胜或平局

39%

非平局

76%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • Outstanding turf strength: Vancouver secured 8 wins and only one loss at home on artificial turf, scoring 27 goals and conceding 6
  • Tactical dominance: Vancouver recently controlled possession with 59% and averaged 6.8 shots on target per match
  • Clear model forecast: Mathematical calculations favor the home team with a 61% win probability and expect 1.91 goals
风险因素
  • Significant squad impact: Brian White (10 goals), Thomas Müller, and Jeevan Badwal are missing, leaving only 62% of regular goal threat available
  • Fatigue factor: Vancouver has a short rest period of only 3 days since their last match
  • Strong away defense: Houston Dynamo has shown outstanding defensive form recently, conceding an average of only 0.2 goals
概述

Vancouver Whitecaps (1st place, 37 points) host Houston Dynamo (2nd place, 35 points) at BC Place Stadium

Major League Soccer top match on August 20, 2026, 4:30 AM

Both teams are fighting for the top spot

近期状态

Vancouver Whitecaps show a stable form trend with the sequence WLDDW

Most recently, they achieved a 2-0 away win against Seattle Sounders

Houston Dynamo travel with a strong form of DWWWW

The visitors have won four consecutive matches, including 1-0 against LA Galaxy

Legend: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Vancouver Whitecaps average 2.22 goals scored and 0.94 goals conceded per game this season

Their home record is defensively very strong, with an average of 2.2 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded

Houston Dynamo average 1.47 goals scored and 1.26 goals conceded per match

On the road, the visitors concede an average of 1.7 goals while scoring 1.5

历史交锋

5 head-to-head matches in recent years

Houston Dynamo recorded one win, while Vancouver Whitecaps secured two wins alongside two draws

The last meeting on May 17, 2026, ended in a 1-0 victory for Houston Dynamo

关键球员

Mathías Laborda anchors the defense and has recorded 3 goals and 3 assists with a 7.11 rating

Ryan Gauld contributed 2 goals in 4 appearances with a rating of 7.05

Andrés Cubas impresses in midfield with a consistent 7.12 rating and one assist

Guilherme is Houston's top scorer with an outstanding 12 goals and 5 assists and a 7.92 rating

Mateusz Bogusz has scored 4 goals this season with a 7.04 rating

Héctor Herrera controls the midfield with 2 goals and a 6.96 rating

门将

Yohei Takaoka starts in goal for the home team with a season average rating of 6.7

He has achieved 7 clean sheets this season, with 5 of them coming at home

Jonathan Bond guards the visitors' goal with a strong rating of 6.95

He has recorded 8 clean sheets so far, including 3 on the road

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf at BC Place Stadium

Vancouver is extremely strong on this surface at home, with 8 wins, 1 draw, and only 1 loss (27:6 goals)

Houston Dynamo played one match on artificial turf and won it 2-0

Historical stadium statistics show an average of 2.6 goals per game

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