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Major League Soccer

Toronto - Nashville SC

09/09/2026, 11:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Toronto
1.0
Total xG
2.3
Nashville SC
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

0:1

11%

0:2

9%

1:2

9%
xG 分解
TORNS

Toronto

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.63倍)
-1.08
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.21
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.21
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第1位, 相差10位)
-0.11
Djordje Mihailovic替补席 (2球, 5助攻)
Theo Corbeanu 替补席 (1球, 2助攻)

Nashville SC

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.52
状态上升 (3 vs 2.4 赛季平均)
+0.20
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.76倍)
-0.19
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第11位, 相差10位)
+0.06
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.01
Andy Nájar替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
Patrick Yazbek替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
Jeison Palacios替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体2.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

26%

平局

31%

客胜

43%

进球数

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

57%

客胜或平局

74%

非平局

69%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Form and standings gap: Table leaders Nashville SC arrive with 4 wins from their last 5 matches, while Toronto sits in 11th place
  • Historical dominance: Nashville SC has won all 4 previous direct encounters against Toronto
  • Defensive superiority: While Toronto has yet to secure a clean sheet at home, Nashville SC concedes an average of just 1.0 goals on the road
风险因素
  • Key absences: Toronto is missing key offensive players Djordje Mihailovic and Theo Corbeanu
  • Shorter rest period: Toronto has only 4 days of rest compared to Nashville's 5 days
  • Defensive vulnerability: Toronto concedes an average of 1.83 goals per game this season
概述

Toronto hosts Nashville SC at BMO Field

Major League Soccer match on September 10, 2026, 1:30 AM

League leaders Nashville SC (1st place, 53 points) travel as favorites to face Toronto (11th place, 26 points)

A highly uneven matchup with the visitors looking to solidify their top spot

近期状态

Toronto shows a stable run with a form of WDWDD

The home team is unbeaten in their last 5 matches with 2 wins and 3 draws

Nashville SC enters the match with a strong form of WWWWD

The visitors recorded 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 games

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Toronto scores an average of 1.57 goals per game and concedes 1.83 goals

Nashville SC impresses offensively with 2.04 goals and allows only 0.74 goals conceded on average

Both teams scored in 100% of the historical games played at this venue

Toronto is still waiting for their first clean sheet at home this season

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches between these teams

Nashville SC dominates the historical record with 4 wins and 0 losses

The goal difference stands at 7 to 2 goals in favor of the away side

The last direct duel ended in a 1-0 victory for Nashville SC on July 20, 2025

关键球员

Josh Sargent leads Toronto's attack with 7 goals and 2 assists

Dániel Sallói contributed 6 goals and 5 assists for the home side

Alonso Coello controls the midfield with an average rating of 7.23

Hany Mukhtar shines for the visitors with 10 goals and 6 assists

Sam Surridge has already scored 13 goals this season for Nashville SC

Cristian Espinoza drives the midfield with 9 assists recorded

门将

Goalkeeper Luka Gavran represents Toronto and has recorded 3 clean sheets this season

Brian Schwake guards the net for Nashville SC with 11 clean sheets to his name

Gavran has yet to keep a clean sheet at home, while Schwake has secured 7 clean sheets in away matches

影响因素

An average of 4.4 goals were scored per match historically at BMO Field

Toronto plays on grass, holding a home record of 27 goals scored and 27 goals conceded

Nashville SC remains highly stable on the road with 11 goals scored and only 5 goals conceded away

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