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Major League Soccer

CF Montréal - DC United

08/15/2026, 11:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
CF Montréal
1.3
Total xG
2.9
DC United
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
CMDU

CF Montréal

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.74倍)
-0.93
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.39
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.06
Matty Longstaff替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
Daniel Ríos替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
Efraín Morales 未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
12%进球产出缺失 (仅80%可用)

DC United

防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.46
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
-0.20
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.11
状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.11
Peglow替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
Lucas Bartlett 未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅84%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.72
+0.72
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

30%

平局

27%

客胜

42%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

34%

Under 3.5

66%

双重机会

主胜或平局

58%

客胜或平局

70%

非平局

73%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • Clear form difference with Montréal winless in 5 matches compared to DC United's unbeaten run of DDDWD
  • DC United averaged 6.2 shots on target in recent matches, showing high offensive activity
  • Montréal's squad strength is reduced to 80% of active goals share due to key players missing
风险因素
  • DC United is missing Lucas Bartlett (2 goals) and Peglow (1 goal, 3 assists), reducing lineup strength to 84%
  • CF Montréal's defense is highly vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.94 goals per game this season
概述

CF Montréal (14th place, 16 points) host DC United (9th place, 23 points) at Stade Saputo

MLS match on August 15, 2026, 11:30 PM

The visitors travel as the statistical favorites

近期状态

CF Montréal is winless in 5 matches with a form of DDLLD

The summary shows 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses

DC United is more stable with a form of DDDWD, including 1 win and 4 draws

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

CF Montréal scores an average of 1.33 goals and concedes 1.94 goals per game

DC United scores an average of 1.44 goals while conceding 1.61

Montréal's defense is more stable at home, conceding 1.11 goals per game compared to 2.78 away

Stade Saputo average stands at 1.8 goals per game

历史交锋

Even historical record with 1 win for each team and 3 draws in 5 matches

The last head-to-head match ended in a spectacular 4-4 draw on May 23, 2026

关键球员

Prince Owusu leads Montréal with 10 goals and 6 assists

Victor Loturi contributed 1 goal and 1 assist this season

Tai Baribo is the most dangerous attacker for DC United with 11 goals this season

门将

Sean Johnson plays in goal for DC United, with a rating of 6.77 and 4 clean sheets this season

Thomas Guilier guards the goal for Montréal with a rating of 6.71 in home games at Stade Saputo

影响因素

Stade Saputo shows a low scoring trend with an average of 1.8 goals per game

The match will be played on a grass surface

Montréal's home defensive record is significantly stronger than their away record

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