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Major League Soccer

Atlanta United - Orlando City

09/09/2026, 11:30 PM

2 : 3
预期进球
Atlanta United
1.8
Total xG
3.2
Orlando City
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
AUOC

Atlanta United

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
+0.17
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第8位, 相差6位)
-0.11
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.11
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.11
Fafà Picault替补席 (3球, 2助攻)

Orlando City

防守不足 (场均失2.4球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.98
排名优势 (第8位 vs 第14位, 相差6位)
+0.04
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.01
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

26%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

40%

Under 3.5

60%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

74%

双方进球

65%

35%

关键因素
  • Offensive form trend: Atlanta United is currently scoring more frequently (1.6 goals) compared to their season average of 1.2
  • High-scoring arena history: Mercedes-Benz Stadium statistics show a high-scoring average of 3.2 goals per game and an 80% BTTS rate
  • Low squad impact despite absence: The home team retains 93% of its squad strength despite Fafâ Picault being out
风险因素
  • Physical fatigue: Atlanta United plays with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Away defensive weakness: Orlando City concedes an extremely high average of 3.36 goals per away match
  • Artificial turf struggles: Atlanta United has suffered 6 defeats in 10 matches on this surface
概述

Atlanta United (14th place, 22 points) host Orlando City (8th place, 28 points)

Match at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on September 9, 2026, 11:30 PM

A key matchup in Major League Soccer

近期状态

Atlanta United enters with a form of WWWLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their recent outings

Orlando City travels with a form of DLWDW

2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss for the visitors

统计数据

Atlanta United scores an average of 1.17 goals and concedes 1.74 goals per match

Orlando City averages 1.65 goals scored and 2.35 goals conceded per game

15 out of 23 games for both teams ended with both teams scoring

The home side saw over 2.5 goals in 14 matches, while the visitors had 16 such games

历史交锋

An even head-to-head record over the last 2 years with 2 wins for each team and 1 draw

The last encounter ended in a 1:1 draw on May 16, 2026

A total of 6:8 goals from Atlanta United's perspective in these 5 matchups

关键球员

Miguel Almirón shines with 4 goals and 4 assists, averaging a 7.44 rating

Aleksey Miranchuk contributes 5 goals and 7 assists this season

Tristan Muyumba recently scored 2 goals in his last 5 matches

For the visitors, Antoine Griezmann impresses with 5 goals and 3 assists in just 8 games

Martín Ojeda leads his team with 11 goals this season

Justin Ellis has provided 7 assists in 16 appearances

门将

Lucas Hoyos protects the goal for Atlanta United and kept 1 clean sheet in 23 appearances

Maxime Crépeau is in goal for Orlando City, recording 3 clean sheets in 22 games

Both goalkeepers show a similar average rating

影响因素

The match is played on artificial turf, where Atlanta United has a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses

Mercedes-Benz Stadium statistics show a high-scoring average of 3.2 goals per game

In 80% of the matches in this arena, both teams have scored

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