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Major League Soccer

Dallas - Austin

09/20/2026, 12:30 AM

0 : 0
预期进球
Dallas
1.9
Total xG
2.8
Austin
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
DALAUS

Dallas

排名优势 (第3位 vs 第13位, 相差10位)
+0.09
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.8倍)
-0.03
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.01
Logan Farrington替补席 (9球, 3助攻)

Austin

防守不足 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.46
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.63倍)
-0.44
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第3位, 相差10位)
-0.11
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.02
Guilherme Biro未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
Jon Bell替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.3球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

57%

平局

25%

客胜

18%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

双重机会

主胜或平局

82%

客胜或平局

43%

非平局

75%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Matchup advantage for Dallas: Strong home attack (average 2.00 goals per game) meets Austin's highly vulnerable away defense (2.46 goals conceded per game)
  • Historical dominance: Dallas won 4 out of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Austin and holds a strong home record
  • Tactical edge: Dallas recently averaged 5.8 shots on target per game in recent matches showing strong offensive threat
风险因素
  • Defensive vulnerability for Dallas, conceding an average of 1.67 goals per home game
  • Austin's stabilized form with 0 losses in their last 5 matches
  • Restricted data due to missing weather data
概述

Dallas (3rd place, 43 points) host Austin (13th place, 29 points) at Toyota Stadium

Major League Soccer match on September 20, 2026, 2:30 AM

The mathematical model calculates a 57% home win probability for Dallas

Clear home advantage for the in-form Dallas side

近期状态

Dallas form: LDWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Dallas is on a 3-game winning streak

Austin form: DWDDW

Austin remains unbeaten in their last 5 matches

统计数据

Dallas scores an average of 1.96 goals and concedes 1.68 goals per game

Austin averages 1.28 goals scored and 1.76 goals conceded

Away from home, Austin concedes a high average of 2.46 goals per match

历史交锋

5 head-to-head matches in history

Dallas dominated with 4 wins, Austin is winless with 1 draw

The last encounter ended in a 2-1 victory for Dallas

关键球员

Petar Musa (18 goals, 5 assists, 7.40 rating)

Joaquín Valiente (2 goals, 8 assists, 6.96 rating)

Kaick (3 goals, 1 assist, 6.87 rating)

Facundo Torres (4 goals, 6 assists, 7.20 rating)

Christian Ramirez (7 goals, 2 assists, 6.84 rating)

J. Rosales (1 goal, 4 assists, 6.68 rating)

门将

Daniel is in goal for Dallas with 4 clean sheets this season

Brad Stuver protects the goal for Austin with 4 clean sheets registered

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Toyota Stadium

Toyota Stadium history shows an average of 4.2 goals per game

Both teams scored and over 2.5 goals occurred in all previous games here

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