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Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire - Charlotte

08/02/2026, 12:30 AM

2 : 1
预期进球
Chicago Fire
2.1
Total xG
3.2
Charlotte
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

3:1

7%

3:0

6%
xG 分解
CFCHA

Chicago Fire

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.28倍)
+0.41
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
-0.19
Hugo Cuypers未进大名单 (13球, 0助攻)
Maren Haile-Selassie替补席 (3球, 3助攻)
40%进球产出缺失 (仅79%可用)
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)

Charlotte

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.69倍)
-0.47
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.26
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.04
Kerwin Vargas未进大名单 (3球, 4助攻)
Wilfried Zaha未进大名单 (3球, 2助攻)
David Schnegg替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
18%进球产出缺失 (仅83%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.8球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.73
+0.73
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

58%

平局

23%

客胜

19%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

41%

Under 3.5

59%

双重机会

主胜或平局

81%

客胜或平局

42%

非平局

77%

双方进球

61%

39%

关键因素
  • Clear home advantage against road-struggling visitors: Chicago concede just 1.00 goals at home, while Charlotte allow an average of 2.8 goals away
  • Strong mathematical outlook: The model calculates a 58% home win probability and projects 2.11 goals for Chicago Fire
  • Key absences on both sides: Chicago play without Hugo Cuypers and Maren Haile-Selassie, while Charlotte miss Kerwin Vargas and Wilfried Zaha
风险因素
  • Severe defensive vulnerability for Charlotte on the road, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per away match
  • Recent dip in form for Chicago Fire with two consecutive losses leading up to this game
  • Reduced attacking threat due to the absence of key offensive players such as Hugo Cuypers for the home team
概述

Chicago Fire (4th place, 26 points) host Charlotte (6th place, 25 points) at Soldier Field

Major League Soccer match on August 2, 2026, 12:30 AM

Direct battle for key playoff spots in the Eastern Conference

近期状态

Chicago Fire enter with WWWLL form, having lost their last two matches

Charlotte travel with LWWDW form, coming off a win against New York RB

FormSummary shows 3 wins and 2 losses for Chicago in their last 5 games

Charlotte recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the same span

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Chicago Fire average 1.88 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded per game this season

Charlotte average 1.65 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded per match

Severe away struggles for Charlotte, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per game on the road

Soldier Field has averaged 4 goals per game across 5 matches this season

历史交锋

Balanced historical record with 2 wins for each team in 4 head-to-head matches

The last meeting on June 29, 2025, ended in a 3-2 home victory for Chicago Fire

A total of 18 goals were scored across 4 encounters with 10 for Chicago and 8 for Charlotte

关键球员

Philip Zinckernagel leads Chicago with 5 goals, 7 assists, and a 7.41 season rating

Robin Lod contributed 3 goals and 1 assist in 15 season appearances

Robert Lewandowski has rising form with 1 goal in his last 4 games

Pep Biel is Charlotte's top threat with 8 goals, 5 assists, and a 7.27 rating

Idan Toklomati has recorded 5 goals and 1 assist in 17 matches

Liel Abada shows rising form with 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 2 appearances

门将

Chris Brady starts for Chicago Fire, keeping 6 clean sheets this season

Kristijan Kahlina starts for Charlotte, keeping 3 clean sheets so far

Kahlina holds a 7.12 season rating compared to Brady at 6.93

影响因素

Home advantage for Chicago Fire with only 9 goals conceded in 9 home games

Soldier Field has been highly entertaining with an average of 4 goals per match

The game will be played on natural grass at Soldier Field

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