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Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps - Los Angeles FC

08/01/2026, 11:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Vancouver Whitecaps
2.0
Total xG
3.1
Los Angeles FC
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

3:1

6%

3:0

6%
xG 分解
VWLAF

Vancouver Whitecaps

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.82
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
-0.14
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.44倍)
+0.05
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.01
Sebastian Berhalter未进大名单 (6球, 5助攻)

Los Angeles FC

小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.26
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.22
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.14
状态上升 (2.6 vs 2.1 赛季平均)
+0.14
David Martínez替补席 (6球, 0助攻)
Mark Delgado替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
22%进球产出缺失 (仅88%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.5球 vs 总体2.1球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.73
+0.73
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

56%

平局

24%

客胜

20%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

37%

Under 3.5

63%

双重机会

主胜或平局

80%

客胜或平局

44%

非平局

76%

双方进球

59%

41%

关键因素
  • Extreme turf advantage: Vancouver won 8 out of 9 home games on artificial turf (8W-0D-1L)
  • BC Place fortress: The Whitecaps' defense concedes an average of just 0.44 goals per home game
  • Mathematical advantage: The model predicts a 56% probability for a home win
风险因素
  • Missing Sebastian Berhalter weakens the hosts, with only 86% of the usual lineup strength available
  • Visitors in red-hot form: Los Angeles FC arrives with a 4-game winning streak
  • Absences for LAFC: David Martínez and Mark Delgado are missing from the squad
概述

Vancouver Whitecaps (1st place, 33 points) vs Los Angeles FC (2nd place, 33 points)

Top-tier MLS clash on August 1, 2026, 11:30 PM at BC Place Stadium

Both teams are tied on points at the top of the table

近期状态

Vancouver shows mixed form with WLWLD in recent matches

Last result was a 0-0 draw against Minnesota United

Los Angeles FC enters in stellar shape with LWWWW

The visitors won their last four consecutive matches, including 4-0 against Sporting KC

统计数据

Vancouver Whitecaps average 2.31 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match

At home, their defense is extremely tight, conceding just 0.44 goals per game

Los Angeles FC score an average of 1.89 goals per game

On the road, the visitors concede an average of 1.50 goals per match

历史交锋

There have been 5 head-to-head matches between these teams

Vancouver leads the recent record with 2 wins compared to 1 for LAFC

Two games ended in a draw

The last match on November 23, 2025 finished in a 2-2 draw

关键球员

Brian White is the top scorer for the home side with 10 goals this season

Thomas Müller contributed 4 goals and 2 assists in his 13 appearances

Denis Bouanga is LAFC's main threat with 10 goals and 3 assists so far

门将

Yohei Takaoka played 15 matches for Vancouver, securing 6 clean sheets

Hugo Lloris guarded the goal 15 times for LAFC, achieving 11 clean sheets

影响因素

The match is played on artificial turf at BC Place Stadium

Vancouver is highly dominant on turf with 8 wins and 1 loss at home

LAFC lost their only game on artificial turf this season

The mathematical model projects a 56% probability for a home win

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