Major League Soccer
New England - New York City
08/23/2026, 08:30 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.5
1.3
1:1
14%1:2
8%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:0
6%xG 分解
New England
New York City
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
34%
平局
30%
客胜
36%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
64%
客胜或平局
66%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Home vs Away disparity: New England's strong home defense (avg 0.77 goals conceded) meets New York City's fragile away defense (avg 2.20 goals conceded)
- Tactical edge: New England recently averaged 56% possession and recorded 5.6 shots on target per match
- Attacking trend: New England currently scores more frequently with 2.0 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.7
风险因素
- Midfield absence: New York City is missing M. Moralez, a key playmaker with 6 assists this season
- Short recovery time: Both teams face a tight schedule with only 4 days of rest since their last match
- Extremely tight model prediction: The mathematical model suggests an incredibly close match with a 34% home win and 36% away win probability
概述
New England host New York City at Gillette Stadium
Major League Soccer match on August 23, 2026, 10:30 PM
New England is in 4th place with 33 points, while the visitors are in 7th with 26 points
Crucial points are at stake in the upper part of the table
近期状态
New England's form: WDLLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The home side recently secured a 3-0 victory against DC United
New York City's form: WWDLL
The visitors travel following two consecutive defeats
统计数据
New England scores avg 1.60 goals and concedes avg 1.25 goals per match
Strong home defense: New England concedes only avg 0.77 goals at home
New York City scores avg 1.70 goals but concedes avg 2.20 goals away from home
Both teams scored in 11 of New England's 20 matches
历史交锋
There have been 4 head-to-head matches recorded
New York City leads with 3 wins compared to 1 win for New England
The last encounter ended in a 2-0 win for New England
关键球员
Carles Gil shines with 7 goals and 3 assists this season
Alhassan Yusuf shows rising form with 3 goals in his last 5 matches
Nicolás Fernández Mercau leads the visitors with an impressive 13 goals this season
Agustín Ojeda has contributed 5 goals and 5 assists so far
门将
Matt Turner guards the goal for New England, recording 5 clean sheets
Matt Freese starts in goal for New York City with 3 clean sheets to his name
影响因素
The match will be played at Gillette Stadium on artificial turf
New England has recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 3 defeats on this surface so far
The venue historically averages 2.2 goals per game