Major League Soccer
Toronto - New York City
08/29/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.6
1.3
1:1
14%1:2
8%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:0
6%xG 分解
Toronto
New York City
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
33%
平局
30%
客胜
37%
进球数
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
63%
客胜或平局
67%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- Historical dominance: New York City secured 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-head matches
- Attacking threat: New York City recently averaged 5.0 shots on target per match
- Vulnerable defense: Toronto conceded an average of 1.76 goals per game this season
风险因素
- Away defense issues: New York City conceded an average of 2.0 goals per away match
- Significant absence: Playmaker M. Moralez is out injured, missing his 6 assists this season
概述
Toronto (9th place, 24 points) host New York City (7th place, 27 points) at BMO Field
Major League Soccer match on August 30, 2026, 1:30 AM
A tight mid-table clash is expected
近期状态
Toronto enters the match with form LDWDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The home team recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss recently
New York City travels with form WDLLD
The visitors registered 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats recently
统计数据
Toronto scored 31 goals and conceded 37 so far this season
At home, Toronto averages 1.47 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded
New York City has scored 35 goals while conceding 30
The visitors concede an average of 2 goals per away match
历史交锋
New York City has been highly dominant in the last 5 head-to-head encounters
The visitors secured 4 wins, alongside 1 draw and 0 defeats
Their last meeting on July 31, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw
关键球员
Alonso Coello impresses with an average rating of 7.25 and 3 assists
Djordje Mihailovic contributed 2 goals and 3 assists so far
Josh Sargent has registered 4 goals this season
Nicolás Fernández Mercau is the standout player for the visitors with 13 goals and a 7.79 rating
Agustín Ojeda recorded 5 goals and 5 assists this season
Luighi has already scored 2 goals in just 3 appearances
门将
Luka Gavran started 21 times in goal and secured 3 clean sheets
He has yet to record a clean sheet at home this season
Matt Freese also guarded the goal 21 times, keeping 3 clean sheets
He kept 1 clean sheet in away matches this season
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at BMO Field
Stadium statistics show an average of 3.6 goals per game at this venue
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 home games for Toronto
Toronto has struggled to maintain defensive stability on home soil