比赛报告 →
Toronto – New York City1 : 1
模型为何这样判断
Toronto
1.27
总 xG
2.62
New York City
1.35
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | Toronto | New York City |
|---|---|---|
| 进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.61倍) | −0.84 | |
| 高进球联赛 (场均3.2球) | +0.69 | +0.69 |
| 最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球) | +0.05 | |
| 最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球) | −0.02 | |
| Dániel Sallói替补席 (5球, 4助攻) | ||
| Niklas Dorsch未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻) | ||
| Talles Magno未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻) | ||
| Tayvon Gray替补席 (1球, 1助攻) | ||
| 客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.7球) |
关键因素
- Historical dominance: New York City secured 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-head matches
- Attacking threat: New York City recently averaged 5.0 shots on target per match
- Vulnerable defense: Toronto conceded an average of 1.76 goals per game this season
风险
- Away defense issues: New York City conceded an average of 2.0 goals per away match
- Significant absence: Playmaker M. Moralez is out injured, missing his 6 assists this season
全部概率
赛果
Toronto33%
平局30%
New York City37%
进球
大于 1.575%
小于 1.525%
大于 2.549%
小于 2.551%
大于 3.527%
小于 3.573%
双重机会
Toronto或平局63%
New York City或平局67%
非平局70%
双方均进球
是55%
否45%
最可能的比分
1:1
14%
1:2
8%
2:1
8%
0:2
7%
2:0
6%
首发阵容
Toronto 4-2-3-1 · New York City 4-3-3
Toronto
- 1 L. Gavran
- 19 K. Franklin
- 25 W. Zimmerman
- 13 B. Kuscevic Jaramillo
- 22 R. Laryea
- 71 M. Cimermancic
- 14 A. Coello Camarero
- 7 T. Corbeanu
- 10 D. Mihailovic
- 11 D. Etienne Jr.
- 9 J. Sargent
New York City
- 49 F. Matthew
- 35 M. Ilenčič
- 13 T. Martins Bueno
- 6 J. Sands
- 2 N. Cavallo
- 7 N. Fernández Mercau
- 55 K. Alexander Parks
- 8 A. Perea Castañeda
- 26 A. Ojeda
- 20 L. Sousa Santos
- 9 B. Traore
替补
- 3 M. Pereira de Souza
- 17 E. Aristizábal Chavarriaga
- 20 D. Salloi
- 23 W. Yarbrough Story
- 44 R. Edwards
- 99 J. Vilsaint
- 12 Z. Monlouis
- 15 N. Gomis
- 38 J. Gilman
- 22 K. O'Toole
- 24 T. Gray
- 30 T. Romero Keubler
- 32 J. Shore
- 34 R. Pereira Bicalho
- 27 C. Flax
- 18 G. Ranjitsingh
- 23 M. Murray
- 88 M. Jones
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