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Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo - Real Salt Lake

09/10/2026, 12:30 AM

2 : 1
预期进球
Houston Dynamo
1.3
Total xG
2.1
Real Salt Lake
0.8
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

14%

2:0

10%

0:1

8%
xG 分解
HDRSL

Houston Dynamo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.54倍)
-0.92
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.60
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.25
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.13
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第10位, 相差8位)
+0.05
Jack McGlynn 未进大名单 (2球, 5助攻)

Real Salt Lake

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.62倍)
-0.79
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第2位, 相差8位)
-0.07
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.07
Sergi Solans替补席 (9球, 3助攻)
33%进球产出缺失 (仅76%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

45%

平局

32%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

35%

Under 2.5

65%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

55%

非平局

68%

双方进球

42%

58%

关键因素
  • Defense vs away weakness: Houston concede just 0.70 goals at home, whereas RSL concede 2.86 goals on the road
  • Form disparity: Houston are unbeaten in their last two games, while Real Salt Lake are winless in five matches
  • The absence of Sergi Solans weakens the visitors' attack, as the forward (9 goals, 3 assists) is not nominated
风险因素
  • Struggling offense: Houston's goal production is low with 1.0 recent goals compared to their season average of 1.43
  • Real Salt Lake averaged 5.2 shots on target in recent matches and remain dangerous despite their current form crisis
  • Real Salt Lake dominated recent head-to-head history with four wins in the last five meetings
概述

Houston Dynamo host Real Salt Lake at the Shell Energy Stadium

Major League Soccer match on September 10, 2026, 2:30 AM

Clash between 2nd-placed Houston (40 points) and 10th-placed Real Salt Lake (29 points)

Houston look to cement their second place while the visitors seek to close the gap

近期状态

Houston Dynamo show a stable trend with a WWLDD form

The home side registered two consecutive draws recently

Real Salt Lake are struggling in a crisis with a DLLLD form

The visitors are winless in their last five matches

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Houston average 1.30 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game this season

At home, Houston's defense is extremely solid, conceding only 0.70 goals per match

Real Salt Lake struggle defensively with 1.59 goals conceded on average

On the road, the visitors concede a high average of 2.86 goals per game

Venue history shows a low-scoring trend with an average of only 1.4 goals per match

历史交锋

Five head-to-head matches in recent history

Real Salt Lake recorded four wins and only one defeat

The last encounter on May 14, 2026, ended in a clear 3-0 victory for Real Salt Lake

Overall goal difference of 10-7 in favor of the visitors

关键球员

Top attacker Guilherme shines for Houston with 12 goals and 5 assists this season

Mateusz Bogusz contributes 4 goals and 1 assist from midfield

Héctor Herrera controls the game with an average rating of 6.95

Diego Luna stands out for Real Salt Lake with 5 goals and 3 assists

Noel Caliskan has provided 4 assists in midfield

Not nominated for the visitors is Sergi Solans (9 goals, 3 assists)

门将

Jonathan Bond made 23 appearances for Houston and kept 11 clean sheets

His counterpart Rafael Cabral played 21 matches and recorded 2 clean sheets

Bond carries a seasonal average rating of 6.97

Cabral has a seasonal average rating of 6.71

影响因素

Houston benefit from strong home form with only 7 goals conceded in 10 home matches

The game will be played on natural grass at Shell Energy Stadium

Stadium history indicates a very low-scoring environment with 1.4 average goals

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