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Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers - Minnesota United

09/06/2026, 02:30 AM

5 : 4
预期进球
Portland Timbers
1.7
Total xG
3.1
Minnesota United
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

6%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
PTMU

Portland Timbers

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.05
Kevin Kelsy未进大名单 (9球, 2助攻)
Brandon Bye未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
33%进球产出缺失 (仅75%可用)

Minnesota United

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均2.2球)
+0.21
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.21
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.22倍)
+0.11
Tomás Chancalay替补席 (2球, 4助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

26%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

38%

Under 3.5

62%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

74%

双方进球

64%

36%

关键因素
  • Extreme artificial turf advantage: Portland earned 6 wins on this surface, whereas Minnesota lost both games on turf with a 1-8 goal difference
  • Counter-oriented tactics: Minnesota United recently averaged 6.2 shots on target and is scoring more frequently than their season average
  • High scoring probability: The mathematical model calculates a 64% probability for both teams to score
风险因素
  • Vulnerable defense of the hosts, conceding an average of 1.77 goals per league match
  • The absence of top goalscorer Kevin Kelsy weakens Portland's attacking lineup
  • Poor away record for Minnesota United on artificial turf with zero points from two games so far
概述

Portland Timbers (11th place, 28 points) host Minnesota United (9th place, 29 points) at Providence Park

Major League Soccer match on September 6, 2026, 4:30 AM

A tight mid-table clash with important playoff points on the line

近期状态

Portland Timbers enter with a form of WLWDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Their most recent result was a home defeat against Austin

Minnesota United arrive with a form of DDLWD

Their last match ended in a draw against Orlando City

统计数据

Portland Timbers score an average of 1.77 goals and concede 1.77 goals per game

Both teams scored in 17 of the 22 matches played by the hosts this season

Minnesota United average 1.36 goals scored and 1.45 goals conceded

Portland is strong at home, scoring 24 goals in 14 home fixtures

历史交锋

There have been 5 head-to-head matches in recent history

Minnesota United recorded 2 wins, Portland Timbers 1 win, and 2 matches ended in a draw

The last direct encounter ended in a 0-2 away win for Minnesota United

关键球员

Kristoffer Velde has recorded 5 goals and 6 assists with a 7.18 rating

David Da Costa contributed 3 goals and 6 assists so far

Cole Bassett scored 3 goals and provided 3 assists

Kelvin Yeboah leads the visitors with 11 goals this season

Joaquín Pereyra excels with 8 assists and an average rating of 7.51

Anthony Markanich Jr. records 6 goals and 3 assists from defense

门将

James Pantemis is in goal for Portland Timbers with a 7.12 season rating

He achieved 1 clean sheet this season

Drake Callender guards the goal for Minnesota United with a 6.87 rating

He recorded 5 clean sheets in the current campaign

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf at Providence Park

Portland Timbers hold a strong home record of 6 wins on artificial turf

Minnesota United lost both of their matches on this surface with a 1-8 goal difference

Matches at Providence Park recently averaged 3.4 goals per game

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