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Major League Soccer

DC United - Charlotte

09/19/2026, 11:30 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
DC United
1.4
Total xG
3.0
Charlotte
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
DUCHA

DC United

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
-0.45
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.27
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
-0.15
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第4位, 相差7位)
-0.10
Silvan Hefti替补席 (1球, 2助攻)

Charlotte

状态上升 (2.5 vs 2 赛季平均)
+0.16
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第11位, 相差7位)
+0.06
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.01
Will Cleary替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

31%

平局

27%

客胜

42%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

58%

客胜或平局

69%

非平局

73%

双方进球

62%

38%

关键因素
  • Historical dominance: Charlotte won all 5 previous head-to-head encounters against DC United
  • Form strength: Charlotte is unbeaten in 5 matches (WWDWD) while DC United won only once in their last 5 games
  • Offensive trend: Charlotte is scoring more frequently, averaging 2.5 goals compared to their season average of 2.0
风险因素
  • Away defensive weakness: Charlotte concedes an average of 2.09 goals in away matches
  • Low offensive threat: DC United averaged only 3.4 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Squad changes: Silvan Hefti (DC United) and Will Cleary (Charlotte) are missing from the starting lineups
概述

DC United (11th place, 29 points) host Charlotte (4th place, 40 points) on September 19, 2026, 11:30 PM at Audi Field

Major League Soccer match with Charlotte entering as favorites with a 42% modeled win probability

The home side fights to close the gap from the bottom of the table

近期状态

DC United is in moderate form with a LLDWD record (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)

Their last match ended in a scoreless draw against Atlanta United

Charlotte is undefeated in their last 5 games with a WWDWD record (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)

Most recently, they drew 3-3 against Cincinnati

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

DC United averages 1.25 goals scored and 1.54 conceded per game this season

Their scoring has stalled recently, averaging 1.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.5

Charlotte averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.44 conceded overall

In away matches, Charlotte concedes an average of 2.09 goals

Charlotte is currently scoring more frequently, averaging 2.5 goals compared to their season average of 2.0

历史交锋

Charlotte dominates the head-to-head history with 5 wins from 5 matches

DC United has never won a direct matchup

The total goal difference stands at 10-2 in favor of Charlotte

The last encounter on August 22, 2026, ended in a 3-1 victory for Charlotte

关键球员

Tai Baribo has scored 14 goals for DC United this season with a rating of 7.16

Louis Munteanu contributed 6 goals and 3 assists

Peglow has 1 goal and 4 assists this season

Pep Biel is Charlotte's key player with 12 goals and 7 assists, maintaining a strong rating of 7.32

Idan Toklomati contributes 9 goals and 2 assists

Liel Abada shines with 5 goals and 5 assists in the current campaign

门将

Sean Johnson guards the net for DC United with 24 appearances this season and a rating of 6.81

Kristijan Kahlina has played 25 games for Charlotte with an average rating of 7.15

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Audi Field

Historical venue statistics show an average of 2.0 goals per game

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of the last 5 matches here

Both teams scored in 40% of those encounters

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