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Major League Soccer

Dallas - Portland Timbers

09/13/2026, 12:30 AM

2 : 1
预期进球
Dallas
1.6
Total xG
2.9
Portland Timbers
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
DALPT

Dallas

状态上升 (2.8 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
+0.19
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.13
Petar Musa替补席 (18球, 4助攻)
Osaze Urhoghide替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Herman Johansson替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅90%可用)

Portland Timbers

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.14
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
+0.14
David Da Costa未进大名单 (3球, 7助攻)
Ariel Lassiter替补席 (3球, 3助攻)
Jimer Fory替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
38%进球产出缺失 (仅59%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体1.9球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

27%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

73%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • Matchup advantage: Dallas' strong home offense (2.0 goals per game) meets Portland's vulnerable away defense conceding 2.62 goals per game
  • Form trend: Dallas recently averages 2.8 goals per game, scoring more frequently than their seasonal average of 2.2
  • H2H dominance: Portland Timbers failed to win any of the last 5 direct duels against Dallas
风险因素
  • David Da Costa, Ariel Lassiter, Jimer Fory are missing for Portland, only 59% of goal threat is available
  • Both teams face a short recovery period with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Severe away weakness: Portland concedes a high average of 2.62 goals per away game
概述

Dallas hosts the Portland Timbers at Toyota Stadium

Major League Soccer match on September 13, 2026, 12:30 AM

Dallas currently sits in 4th place with 40 points

Portland Timbers arrive in 8th place with 32 points

The mathematical model estimates a home win probability of 43%

近期状态

Dallas shows stable form with the record WLDWW

The hosts won their last match 2-1 away against Minnesota United

Portland Timbers have a form curve of WDLWD

The visitors recently played to a 2-2 draw against St. Louis City

Both teams exhibit positive trends with high-scoring games

统计数据

Dallas averages 1.96 goals scored and 1.71 goals conceded per match this season

In home games, Dallas's scoring rate rises to 2.0 per match with 1.73 goals conceded

Portland Timbers average 1.92 goals scored and 1.88 goals conceded over the season

In away games, Portland concedes a significant average of 2.62 goals per match

Both teams scored in 16 of Dallas's games and 19 of Portland's games

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas secured 2 wins and 3 draws

Portland Timbers failed to win any match during this period

The last encounter on July 23, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw

Dallas scored a total of 9 goals in these meetings, while Portland recorded 6

关键球员

Logan Farrington has scored 8 goals and provided 3 assists for Dallas this season

Joaquín Valiente shines in the hosts' midfield with one goal and 8 assists

Santiago Moreno has contributed 3 goals and 2 assists so far

Kristoffer Velde is Portland's top attacker with 8 goals and 6 assists this season

Cole Bassett registers 3 goals and 4 assists in the visitors' midfield

Antony has already contributed 3 goals and 2 assists this campaign

门将

Daniel guards the goal for Dallas with 2 appearances and zero clean sheets this season

James Pantemis is in goal for Portland, playing 24 seasonal matches with one clean sheet

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at Toyota Stadium

Stadium history shows a high-scoring average of 3.8 goals per match

In 4 out of 5 matches at this venue, both teams scored and there were over 2.5 goals

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