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Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders - Chicago Fire

08/29/2026, 08:30 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Seattle Sounders
1.3
Total xG
2.7
Chicago Fire
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
SSCF

Seattle Sounders

小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.24
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.17
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.17
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第3位, 相差10位)
-0.14
Osaze De Rosario替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.7球 vs 总体1.2球)

Chicago Fire

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.10
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第13位, 相差10位)
+0.07
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.01
Jonathan Bamba替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Leonardo Barroso替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.4球 vs 总体2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

32%

平局

29%

客胜

39%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

61%

客胜或平局

68%

非平局

71%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Form gap: Chicago Fire recorded 3 wins and 1 draw in their last five matches, while Seattle failed to win a single game during this period
  • Tactical profile: Seattle recently averaged only 3.0 shots on target per match with 44.4% ball possession
  • Model prediction: The mathematical model favors 3rd-placed Chicago Fire with an away win probability of 39%
风险因素
  • Offensive stagnation: Seattle's goal production has dropped significantly to 0.6 goals per game recently, compared to a season average of 1.2
  • Defensive vulnerability: Chicago Fire concedes an average of 1.67 goals per away match
  • Limited dataset: The provided dataset contains no performance records for Chicago Fire on artificial turf
概述

Seattle Sounders host Chicago Fire at Lumen Field

Major League Soccer match on August 29, 2026, 8:30 PM

Seattle Sounders currently sit in 13th place with 25 points

Chicago Fire travel as the 3rd-placed team with 36 points

The visitors enter the match as slight favorites

近期状态

Seattle Sounders form: LLLLD

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

The home team took only one point from their last five matches

Seattle's goal production is stalling with 0.6 recent goals compared to a season average of 1.2

Chicago Fire form: LWWWD

The visitors recorded 3 wins and 1 draw in their last five matches

Chicago's goal production is also stalling with 1.6 recent goals compared to a season average of 2.0

统计数据

Seattle Sounders score an average of 1.1 goals and concede 1.35 goals per game this season

At home, Seattle averages 1.08 goals scored and 1.23 goals conceded

Chicago Fire average 1.85 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded per match

Away from home, the visitors average 1.89 goals scored and 1.67 goals conceded

Both teams scored in 14 out of 20 matches for Chicago Fire this season

历史交锋

There has been one head-to-head match recorded in the database

Seattle Sounders won this home game 2-1 on June 30, 2024

The historical goal difference stands at 2-1 in favor of the home team

关键球员

Albert Rusnák with 3 goals and 6 assists, averaging a season rating of 7.12

Paul Rothrock has scored 5 goals and provided 1 assist this season

Kalani Kossa-Rienzi recorded 3 goals with a season average rating of 6.89

Philip Zinckernagel already contributed 5 goals and 8 assists for the visitors

Robert Lewandowski scored 3 goals in his 6 appearances this season

Maren Haile-Selassie has registered 4 season goals and 4 assists

门将

Goalkeeper Andrew Thomas has recorded 5 clean sheets for Seattle Sounders this season

Chris Brady has kept 6 clean sheets for Chicago Fire this campaign

In home matches, Andrew Thomas achieved 1 clean sheet so far

Chris Brady has recorded 2 clean sheets on the road this season

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf

Seattle Sounders hold a home record of 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses on this surface

An average of 4.2 goals per game was scored in the last 5 matches at Lumen Field

Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 matches at Seattle's home stadium

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