Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union - Orlando City
09/26/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
2.5
3.7
1.2
2:1
9%3:1
8%3:0
6%2:2
6%4:1
5%xG 分解
Philadelphia Union
Orlando City
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
64%
平局
20%
客胜
17%
进球数
Over 1.5
90%
Under 1.5
10%
Over 2.5
72%
Under 2.5
28%
Over 3.5
51%
Under 3.5
49%
双重机会
主胜或平局
84%
客胜或平局
36%
非平局
80%
双方进球
是
66%
否
34%
关键因素
- Strong form trend: Philadelphia Union scores 3.8 goals on average in recent matches, significantly higher than their season average of 2.1
- High offensive threat: Philadelphia Union averaged 6.8 shots on target per match in recent games
- Mathematical advantage: The prediction model calculates a home win probability of 64%
风险因素
- Weakened squad for Philadelphia Union: Cavan Sullivan, Frankie Westfield, Danley Jean Jacques, and Neil Pierre are missing, leaving only 72% of the regular starting lineup strength
- Defensive vulnerability of Orlando City: The visitors concede an average of 3.31 goals per away match this season
- Inexperienced goalkeeper: Andrew Rick has only made one appearance in goal for Philadelphia Union this season
概述
Philadelphia Union (6th place, 36 points) host Orlando City (7th place, 34 points) at Subaru Park
Major League Soccer match on September 26, 2026, 11:30 PM
A direct mid-table clash for crucial playoff spots
近期状态
Philadelphia Union is in perfect form with 5 wins (WWWWW)
The team secured 5 consecutive wins in the league recently
Orlando City recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss (DWWWL)
The away side recently suffered a defeat
统计数据
Philadelphia Union averages 1.92 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded per game
Their home record stands at 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match
Orlando City scores an average of 1.77 goals and concedes 2.31 goals per game
On the road, the visitors concede an average of 3.31 goals per game
历史交锋
5 head-to-head matches in history
Orlando City secured 3 wins, Philadelphia Union 1 win, and 1 draw
The last encounter ended in a 4-3 victory for Orlando City on May 13, 2026
The overall goal difference is 11:10 in favor of Philadelphia Union
关键球员
Milan Iloski has scored 13 season goals and provided 2 assists
Bruno Damiani found the net 8 times this season and added 2 assists
Kai Wagner impresses in defense with an average rating of 7.20
Martín Ojeda leads the visitors with 12 goals and 1 assist this season
Antoine Griezmann has already scored 8 goals and provided 3 assists in 10 games
Iván Angulo recorded 4 goals and 4 assists in 26 appearances
门将
Andrew Rick has only made 1 appearance in goal for Philadelphia Union this season
Maxime Crépeau played 25 matches for Orlando City with an average rating of 6.82
Philadelphia Union has recorded 6 clean sheets this season
Orlando City currently stands at 4 clean sheets
影响因素
Subaru Park features a grass surface
The venue averages 3.4 total goals per match
Home advantage is reflected in 1.9 goals scored and only 1.1 conceded per game