🇺🇸

Major League Soccer

SJ Earthquakes - St. Louis City

08/16/2026, 02:30 AM

1 : 3
预期进球
SJ Earthquakes
1.9
Total xG
3.2
St. Louis City
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

2:0

7%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
SESLC

SJ Earthquakes

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (1.6 vs 2.1 赛季平均)
-0.14
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.4倍)
+0.11
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
-0.05
Jack Skahan替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Jamar Ricketts替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均2.6球 vs 总体2.1球)

St. Louis City

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.26
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.26
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.06
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.01
Marcel Hartel未进大名单 (6球, 3助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅82%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

50%

平局

25%

客胜

25%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

41%

Under 3.5

59%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

50%

非平局

75%

双方进球

64%

36%

关键因素
  • Opposing form trends: SJ Earthquakes are struggling with a LWLDL run, whereas St. Louis City is unbeaten in 5 matches (WWWWD)
  • Strong offensive focus: Both teams show active forward play, averaging 5.4 (home) and 5.6 (away) shots on target per match in recent games
  • High expectation of goals: Mathematical models calculate a 63% probability for Over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score
风险因素
  • Squad impact for the visitors: Key player Marcel Hartel (6 goals, 3 assists) is missing from the lineup
  • Defensive vulnerability for Earthquakes: San Jose conceded 2.6 goals per game in recent matches, well above their season average of 1.33
  • St. Louis City's defensive leak on the road: The visitors concede an average of 2.33 goals per away match
概述

SJ Earthquakes host St. Louis City at PayPal Park

Major League Soccer match on August 16, 2026, 4:30 AM

SJ Earthquakes are in 3rd place with 33 points

St. Louis City sits in 7th place with 26 points

A crucial clash for playoff positions

近期状态

SJ Earthquakes are struggling with a form of LWLDL

Recent record shows 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

St. Louis City is in excellent shape with a WWWWD run

The visitors are unbeaten in their last 5 matches

(Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

SJ Earthquakes score an average of 2.06 goals per game

At home, this average rises to 2.12 goals per match

St. Louis City scores an average of 1.33 goals per game this season

However, the visitors concede an average of 2.33 goals when playing away

In 11 out of 18 matches for both teams, both sides found the net

历史交锋

There have been 5 head-to-head matches so far

St. Louis City dominates the record with 4 wins to 1

The goal difference stands at 6:11 against the Earthquakes

The last encounter ended in a 3-2 victory for San Jose Earthquakes

The historical dominance lies with the visitors

关键球员

Preston Judd leads the team with 11 goals and 3 assists

Timo Werner contributes strong performances with 5 goals and 4 assists

Daniel Munie solidifies the defensive line with a 6.96 average rating

Simon Becher is currently in good form, averaging 7.10 recently

Tomas Totland shines in defense with 2 assists in his last 5 appearances

Eduard Löwen contributes 2 goals and 1 assist this season

门将

Angus Gunn has guarded the goal 3 times so far this season

SJ Earthquakes have achieved 5 clean sheets in this campaign

Roman Bürki has played 16 matches in goal for the visitors

St. Louis City have recorded 3 clean sheets this season

影响因素

PayPal Park features a natural grass surface providing top conditions

Historically, matches at this stadium average 4 goals per game

The historical over 2.5 rate at this venue stands at 80%

Both teams scored in 60% of past matches at PayPal Park

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。