Major League Soccer
New York City - New York RB
09/18/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
1.6
3.0
1.4
1:1
12%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
New York City
New York RB
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
42%
平局
27%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
36%
Under 3.5
64%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
58%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
62%
否
38%
关键因素
- New York RB is missing key goal threat as Jorge Ruvalcaba (7 goals) and Emil Forsberg (3 goals, 4 assists) are not nominated
- Major gap between New York City's home performance and Red Bulls' away struggles, with the visitors conceding an average of 2.27 goals on the road
- The mathematical model predicts a home win with a 42% probability and projects 1.65 expected goals for the hosts
风险因素
- Both teams have struggled for goals recently, with New York City averaging 1.25 goals and New York RB just 0.75 goals in recent matches
- New York City faces squad depth issues with 5 players out injured, including M. Moralez (1 goal, 6 assists)
- New York City averaged only 3.4 shots on target per match in recent games
概述
New York City FC host New York Red Bulls at Yankee Stadium
Major League Soccer match on September 18, 2026, 11:30 PM
Derby match in the mid-table between 8th and 10th place
近期状态
New York City ended their winless streak with an away win (Form: DDDLW, W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
New York Red Bulls also showed rising form in their latest match (Form: DLDLW)
Both teams won their last game after several winless weeks
统计数据
New York City score an average of 1.56 goals and concede 1.32 goals per game
New York RB concede a very high average of 2.27 goals per away game
Yankee Stadium averaged 2.8 goals per game in recent venue matches
历史交锋
5 head-to-head matches in recent years show a tendency for the home team
New York City recorded 3 wins, New York RB got 1 win and there was 1 draw
The last head-to-head match ended in a 1-1 draw on May 16, 2026
关键球员
Nicolás Fernández Mercau shines in midfield with 15 goals and 4 assists this season
Agustín Ojeda contributed 5 goals and 8 assists for the home side
Julian Hall is the most dangerous attacker for Red Bulls with 9 goals
门将
Matt Freese recorded 5 clean sheets this season
Ethan Horvath has 3 clean sheets so far in this campaign
影响因素
The game will be played on natural grass at Yankee Stadium
New York City scored 26 goals in 17 home matches in front of their fans
The visitors conceded 25 goals in just 11 away games