Major League Soccer
St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo
08/23/2026, 12:30 AM
预期进球
1.4
2.3
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
13%0:0
12%2:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
St. Louis City
Houston Dynamo
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
48%
平局
31%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
52%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
45%
否
55%
关键因素
- Severe squad impact for the visitors: Only 55% of the regular goal threat is available, with Guilherme and Héctor Herrera missing
- Possession dominance: St. Louis City recently dominated matches, averaging 57% possession and 5.0 shots on target
- Home strength vs. away weakness: St. Louis City concedes only 0.91 goals at home, whereas Houston allows 1.55 goals away
风险因素
- Fatigue factor: Both teams enter this crucial match with just 3 days of rest since their last game
- Missing key elements: Houston Dynamo must cope without Guilherme, potentially weakening their defensive balance
- Low scoring expectancy: The mathematical model predicts a low 39% probability for over 2.5 goals
概述
St. Louis City (6th place, 30 points) hosts Houston Dynamo (1st place, 38 points)
Major League Soccer match on August 23, 2026, 2:30 AM at Energizer Park
A clash between the in-form home side and the league leaders
近期状态
St. Louis City shows stable form with a "WWDWD" record
Houston Dynamo travels with a perfect five-game winning streak ("WWWWW")
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Both teams remain undefeated in their last five matches
统计数据
St. Louis City scores an average of 1.4 goals and concedes 1.3 goals per game
At home, their defense is solid, conceding just 0.91 goals per match
Houston Dynamo concedes an average of 1.55 goals away from home while scoring 1.45
Houston kept 9 clean sheets this season, including 4 on the road
历史交锋
Houston Dynamo won 2 of the 4 previous head-to-head matches
St. Louis City recorded 1 victory, with 1 match ending in a draw
The last encounter on August 31, 2025, ended in a 3-2 away win for Houston Dynamo
关键球员
Simon Becher scored 3 goals in his last 5 games, with 4 goals and 4 assists this season
Tomas Totland provided 3 assists in his last 5 appearances
Not nominated for St. Louis City: Eduard Löwen, Lukas MacNaughton, Chris Durkin
门将
Roman Bürki has 18 season appearances for St. Louis City with 3 clean sheets
Jonathan Bond kept 9 clean sheets in 20 appearances this season
Bond shows strong form with an average rating of 7.30 in his last 5 matches
影响因素
Energizer Park features a natural grass surface for this matchup
Matches at this venue average 2.6 goals with a 60% both teams to score rate
Home advantage plays a key role as St. Louis concedes only 0.91 goals per home game