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Major League Soccer

SJ Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo

09/13/2026, 02:30 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
SJ Earthquakes
1.4
Total xG
2.6
Houston Dynamo
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

0:2

5%
xG 分解
SEHD

SJ Earthquakes

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.26
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.19
Reid Roberts替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
14%进球产出缺失 (仅87%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均2.3球 vs 总体1.9球)

Houston Dynamo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-0.22
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.20
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.14
Jack McGlynn 未进大名单 (2球, 5助攻)
Héctor Herrera替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
Agustín Bouzat替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

30%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

71%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • Matchup focus: SJ Earthquakes' strong home attack meets Houston Dynamo's weaker away defense, which concedes 1.46 goals per game
  • Tactical dominance: SJ Earthquakes recently averaged 55% possession and 4.6 shots on target per match
  • High-scoring venue: PayPal Park matches have averaged 4.2 goals per game with an 80% BTTS rate
风险因素
  • Fatigue factor: Both teams enter this match with only 3 days of rest since their last game
  • Missing key players: Houston Dynamo is without Jack McGlynn (2 goals, 5 assists) and Héctor Herrera (2 goals)
  • Home form dip: SJ Earthquakes show a negative form trend, scoring fewer goals (1.25) recently than their season average (1.79)
概述

SJ Earthquakes (5th place, 38 points) host Houston Dynamo (2nd place, 43 points) at PayPal Park

Major League Soccer match on September 13, 2026, 4:30 AM

Top-tier clash with a slight advantage for the home team

近期状态

SJ Earthquakes show an inconsistent form of LLDDW in their last five matches

The home team recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

Houston Dynamo travel with a form of WLDDW

The visitors registered 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches

统计数据

SJ Earthquakes average 1.79 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per match this season

At home, their average is 1.73 goals scored and 1.73 goals conceded

Houston Dynamo average 1.33 goals scored and 1.13 goals conceded

Away from home, the visitors concede an average of 1.46 goals per match

历史交锋

Five head-to-head matches in history

Houston Dynamo celebrated 2 wins, while SJ Earthquakes won 1 match

Two matches ended in a draw

The last meeting on August 30, 2026, ended in a 0:0 draw

关键球员

Niko Tsakiris has 3 goals and 7 assists this season

Beau Leroux recorded 4 goals and 4 assists

Ousseni Bouda scored 6 goals so far

Guilherme is the most dangerous player for the visitors with 13 goals and 6 assists

Mateusz Bogusz contributed 5 goals and 1 assist

Lawrence Ennali has 3 goals and 3 assists

门将

Angus Gunn guards the goal for SJ Earthquakes with 3 home clean sheets this season

Jonathan Bond is in goal for Houston Dynamo and kept 5 away clean sheets

影响因素

Home advantage for SJ Earthquakes at PayPal Park on grass

Stadium statistics show high-scoring games with an average of 4.2 goals per match

Both teams scored and over 2.5 goals occurred in 80% of these matches

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