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Major League Soccer

Colorado Rapids - CF Montréal

09/13/2026, 01:30 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
Colorado Rapids
2.1
Total xG
3.0
CF Montréal
0.9
最可能的比分

2:0

11%

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
CRCM

Colorado Rapids

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.45
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.24
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.24
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第15位, 相差8位)
+0.08
Rafael Navarro未进大名单 (10球, 3助攻)
Wayne Frederick替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Youssef Maziz未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
Reggie Cannon替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
35%进球产出缺失 (仅69%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.9球 vs 总体1.4球)

CF Montréal

排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第7位, 相差8位)
-0.08
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.04
Matty Longstaff替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
Luca Petrasso替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
Brayan Vera替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Gennadiy Synchuk替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

63%

平局

23%

客胜

14%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

65%

双重机会

主胜或平局

86%

客胜或平局

37%

非平局

77%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • The mathematical model predicts a solid home win probability of 63%
  • Extreme gap between Colorado's exceptionally solid home defense (0.56 conceded) and Montréal's fragile away defense (2.92 conceded)
  • CF Montréal averaged 5.0 shots on target in recent matches but must break down a highly organized home defense
风险因素
  • Colorado Rapids have a physical disadvantage with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Crucial lineup absences for Colorado: Rafael Navarro, Wayne Frederick, Youssef Maziz, and Reggie Cannon are missing, leaving only 70% of their goal threat active
  • Colorado's offense has stalled lately, averaging just 0.6 goals and 3.4 shots on target in recent matches
概述

Colorado Rapids host CF Montréal at Dick's Sporting Goods Park

Major League Soccer match on September 13, 2026, 3:30 AM

Colorado (7th place, 32 points) enter as favorites against Montréal (15th place, 21 points)

近期状态

Colorado show mixed form with WLWLD in their last matches

Their recent record includes 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Montréal are struggling with a WDLLL form, ending on 3 consecutive losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Colorado average 1.31 goals scored and only 0.56 goals conceded per home game

Montréal have a weak away defense, conceding an average of 2.92 goals per game

In 16 home matches, the Rapids kept 6 clean sheets

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams

That match on June 23, 2024, ended in a clear 4-1 victory for Colorado Rapids

关键球员

Paxten Aaronson contributed 5 goals and 5 assists this season

Darren Yapi has recorded 3 goals and 2 assists so far

Prince Owusu is the main threat for the visitors with 13 goals and 6 assists

门将

Nicolas Hansen plays in goal for Colorado with an average rating of 7.01

Sébastian Breza guards the net for Montréal with an average rating of 6.67

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at Dick's Sporting Goods Park

The last 5 home games at this venue averaged only 1.2 total goals

None of those 5 matches saw both teams score

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