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Major League Soccer

Inter Miami - CF Montréal

08/29/2026, 11:30 PM

7 : 1
预期进球
Inter Miami
2.1
Total xG
3.6
CF Montréal
1.5
最可能的比分

2:1

9%

2:2

7%

3:1

6%

1:2

6%

3:2

5%
xG 分解
IMCM

Inter Miami

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.32
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 2.4 赛季平均)
-0.32
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.33倍)
+0.31
防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
+0.17
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
-0.14
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第13位, 相差11位)
+0.11
M. Silvetti未进大名单 (3球, 4助攻)

CF Montréal

排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第2位, 相差11位)
-0.18
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.01
Daniel Ríos替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Victor Loturi替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

23%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

88%

Under 1.5

12%

Over 2.5

70%

Under 2.5

31%

Over 3.5

48%

Under 3.5

52%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

77%

双方进球

69%

31%

关键因素
  • Matchup advantage: Miami's dominant home attack of 2.44 goals per game faces Montréal's weak away defense conceding 2.6 goals on average
  • Sustained offensive quality: Despite M. Silvetti's injury, Inter Miami retain 92% of their season goal production with Lionel Messi and Luis Suárez leading the line
  • Tactical threat: CF Montréal averaged 6.0 shots on target in recent matches, presenting a significant test for Miami's defense
风险因素
  • Dip in form: Inter Miami exhibit a negative recent trend with only one victory in their last five competitive matches
  • Vulnerable home defense: Miami concede a high average of 2.11 goals per match in front of their home crowd
  • Squad limitations for Montréal: Attackers Daniel Ríos (3 goals) and Victor Loturi (1 goal) are missing from the lineup
概述

Inter Miami host CF Montréal at the Chase Stadium

Major League Soccer fixture on August 29, 2026, 11:30 PM

Second-placed Inter Miami with 39 points face 13th-placed CF Montréal with 21 points

The hosts enter the match as the clear favorites

近期状态

Inter Miami's recent form is WDLDL with mixed results over the last five games

CF Montréal present a slightly more stable run of form with LDDWD

Inter Miami's goalscoring has slowed down recently to 1.4 goals per match compared to their season average of 2.5

CF Montréal remain highly consistent, averaging 1.4 goals per match

统计数据

Inter Miami average 2.33 goals scored and 1.9 goals conceded per match this season

CF Montréal register 1.38 goals scored and 1.86 goals conceded per game

Miami concede an average of 2.11 goals at home while scoring 2.44 goals

Montréal struggle defensively on the road, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per away match

历史交锋

There have been five head-to-head matches in the history of this fixture

Inter Miami dominate the record with four wins compared to just one victory for CF Montréal

The last meeting ended in a 1-0 win for Inter Miami on July 25, 2026

The goal difference in direct duels stands at 14-8 in favor of Miami

关键球员

Lionel Messi shines for the hosts with 14 goals and 9 assists this season

Luis Suárez has contributed an impressive 10 goals and 3 assists so far

Prince Owusu is the main threat for the visitors with 13 goals and 6 assists this season

门将

Dayne St. Clair is the starting goalkeeper for Inter Miami with four clean sheets this season

Thomas Guilier will guard the net for CF Montréal in the upcoming match

Both teams have kept exactly four clean sheets throughout the current campaign

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Chase Stadium

The historic goal average at this venue is high, standing at 3.8 goals per match

Both teams scored in 80% of the matches played at the Chase Stadium so far

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