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Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire - Inter Miami

09/10/2026, 12:30 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
Chicago Fire
1.9
Total xG
3.6
Inter Miami
1.7
最可能的比分

2:1

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

7%

3:1

5%

3:2

5%
xG 分解
CFIM

Chicago Fire

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.04

Inter Miami

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.33倍)
+0.44
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
-0.01
客场表现不佳 (场均1.6球 vs 总体2.6球)
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

24%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

89%

Under 1.5

11%

Over 2.5

70%

Under 2.5

30%

Over 3.5

49%

Under 3.5

51%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

76%

双方进球

71%

29%

关键因素
  • Tactical contrast in attack: Chicago Fire averaged 5.8 shots on target in recent matches with balanced possession (49%), while Inter Miami dominated possession with 56.2% and averaged 4.8 shots on target
  • Outstanding offensive lines on both sides: Chicago scores consistently with a season average of 2.05 goals per game, while Miami operates with an extremely dangerous average of 2.64 goals
  • Mathematically high goal probability: The calculation model predicts a 71% probability for BTTS and 70% for over 2.5 goals in this match
风险因素
  • Miami's defensive weakness on the road: The visitors concede an average of 1.91 goals per away match this season
  • Tight schedule for Inter Miami: The team enters this away match with only 4 days of rest since their last competitive game
  • Defensive instability for Chicago Fire: The home team conceded four goals in their last match against Toronto during a high-scoring 4-4 draw
概述

Top clash in Major League Soccer at Soldier Field

Third-placed Chicago Fire with 38 points host second-placed Inter Miami with 43 points

Match scheduled for September 10, 2026, 2:30 AM

Both teams are fighting to stay close to the top of the table

近期状态

Chicago Fire is in stable form with a WWDDD record

They are coming off three consecutive draws, including a wild 4-4 against Toronto

Inter Miami shows mixed recent form with an LDLWD record

Their last match ended in a 2-2 draw against Atlanta United

统计数据

Chicago Fire scores 1.95 goals on average per game and 2.0 in home matches

Inter Miami features a powerful attack averaging 2.52 goals per game

Defensive vulnerabilities exist on both sides with Chicago conceding 1.45 goals and Miami 1.87 on average

Both teams scored in 16 out of 22 matches for Chicago and 18 out of 23 for Miami

历史交锋

Five direct duels in total

Inter Miami is the recent dominant team with three wins compared to one for Chicago

The last matchup on July 22, 2026, ended in a 3-2 victory for the away side

关键球员

Maren Haile-Selassie in rising form with 4 goals in his last 5 appearances for 7 goals overall

Robert Lewandowski with 5 goals and 2 assists in just 8 season appearances

Lionel Messi with an outstanding 18 goals and 11 assists this season

Luis Suárez with 12 goals and 4 assists as Miami's lethal striker

门将

Chris Brady features in goal for Chicago with 6 clean sheets this season

Dayne St. Clair of Inter Miami has recorded 4 clean sheets so far

影响因素

Home advantage for Chicago on the grass pitch of Soldier Field

Venue history indicates high-scoring affairs averaging 3.2 total goals per match

All 5 historical matches at this venue saw both teams score and over 2.5 goals

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