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Major League Soccer

Austin - SJ Earthquakes

09/06/2026, 12:30 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
Austin
1.2
Total xG
2.7
SJ Earthquakes
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:0

5%
xG 分解
AUSSE

Austin

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.69倍)
-0.66
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第4位, 相差10位)
-0.14
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.04
Myrto Uzuni未进大名单 (6球, 1助攻)
Brendan Hines-Ike未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
34%进球产出缺失 (仅92%可用)

SJ Earthquakes

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.32
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.26
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第14位, 相差10位)
+0.07
Timo Werner未进大名单 (6球, 4助攻)
29%进球产出缺失 (仅82%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体1.9球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

31%

平局

29%

客胜

40%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

61%

客胜或平局

69%

非平局

71%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Form difference: Austin collected seven points from their last three games, while the visitors are winless in five matches
  • Austin averaged 4.6 shots on target per match in recent games
  • SJ Earthquakes averaged 3.6 shots on target per match in recent games
风险因素
  • Vulnerable overall defense for Austin, conceding 1.86 goals per game this season
  • SJ Earthquakes' scoring rate has dropped recently to 1.0 goal per game compared to their 1.9 season average
  • Reduced attacking dynamic for the visitors due to the absence of key forward Timo Werner
概述

Austin host SJ Earthquakes at the Q2 Stadium

Major League Soccer match on September 6, 2026, 2:30 AM

Austin are currently in 14th place with 24 points, while SJ Earthquakes sit in 4th with 34 points

An interesting clash between two teams in different table regions

近期状态

Austin show stable form with two wins in their last five matches

Form string for Austin: LLWDW

SJ Earthquakes are struggling, remaining winless in their last five outings

Form string for SJ Earthquakes: LLLLD

统计数据

Austin scored 28 goals and conceded 41 in the league this season

SJ Earthquakes hold a more positive goal record of 39 scored and 33 conceded

Austin look much safer at home, conceding just 0.91 goals per game on average

SJ Earthquakes perform well on the road, averaging 1.82 goals per away match

历史交锋

Five previous head-to-head matches have been recorded

The direct record is perfectly even with two wins for each side and one draw

Their last meeting ended in a dominant 5-1 victory for SJ Earthquakes on April 23, 2026

关键球员

Facundo Torres is a key creator for Austin with 3 goals and 5 assists this season

Ervin Torres contributed with 1 goal and 2 assists in midfield

Niko Tsakiris shines for the visitors with a strong 7.33 rating and 4 assists

Not selected for Austin: Myrto Uzuni (6 goals, 1 assist) and Brendan Hines-Ike (2 goals)

Not selected for the away team: Timo Werner (6 goals, 4 assists)

门将

Brad Stuver is a reliable goalkeeper for Austin, holding a high season rating of 7.17

Stuver has recorded 4 clean sheets this season

Angus Gunn guards the net for the visitors, carrying a 6.61 average rating from 7 appearances

影响因素

The game will take place on natural grass at the Q2 Stadium

Venue stats suggest high scoring with an average of 3.0 goals per match

Both teams scored in 80% of historical games played at this stadium

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