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Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew - Colorado Rapids

09/05/2026, 11:30 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
Columbus Crew
1.1
Total xG
2.0
Colorado Rapids
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

15%

1:0

13%

0:1

10%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
CCCR

Columbus Crew

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.68倍)
-1.00
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第7位, 相差8位)
-0.10
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.02
Taha Habroune替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Brais Méndez替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
Dylan Chambost替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
67%进球产出缺失 (仅53%可用)

Colorado Rapids

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.45倍)
-0.80
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
-0.14
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第15位, 相差8位)
+0.04
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.03
Rafael Navarro未进大名单 (10球, 3助攻)
Reggie Cannon替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
Hamzat Ojediran未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
Dante Sealy未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
47%进球产出缺失 (仅68%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.5球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

34%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

62%

Under 1.5

38%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

66%

双方进球

42%

58%

关键因素
  • Restricted attack: Only 53% of regular goal contribution available with Taha Habroune, Brais Méndez and Dylan Chambost missing
  • Form discrepancy: While Columbus Crew suffered four consecutive defeats Colorado Rapids won four of their last five matches
  • Model prediction: Despite poor form the mathematical model yields a 71% probability for Columbus Crew to win or draw
风险因素
  • Rafael Navarro, Reggie Cannon, Hamzat Ojediran and Dante Sealy are missing for the visitors, leaving only 69% of regular starting strength
  • Low offensive output: Columbus averaged only 2.4 shots on target per game in their recent matches
  • Away defensive issues: Colorado Rapids concede an average of 2.71 goals per away match this season
概述

Columbus Crew host Colorado Rapids at Lower.com Field

Major League Soccer match on September 5, 2026, 11:30 PM

Columbus Crew sit in 15th place with 20 points

Colorado Rapids occupy 7th place with 31 points

The home side is looking to escape the bottom of the table

近期状态

Columbus Crew is struggling with a DLLLL form streak

The hosts suffered four consecutive defeats in their recent matches

Colorado Rapids travel with a strong WWWLW form

The visitors recorded four wins and only one defeat in their last five matches

统计数据

Columbus Crew scores 1.41 goals and concedes 1.77 goals on average per game

At home Columbus concedes an average of 1.4 goals

Colorado Rapids average 1.43 goals scored in away matches

However the away side struggles defensively conceding 2.71 goals per away match

关键球员

Mohamed Farsi stands out in midfield with a 6.89 season rating and three assists

André Gomes remains reliable with a 6.85 season average

Santiago Rodríguez scored two goals in his recent appearances

For Colorado Paxten Aaronson leads with four goals and five assists this season

Youssef Maziz has provided two assists in his appearances

Loïc Williams adds defensive quality with a season rating of 7.11

门将

Patrick Schulte has played 22 games for Columbus with a 6.68 rating

Adam Beaudry made one appearance for Colorado holding a 6.79 rating

影响因素

Lower.com Field features a grass surface

The venue average stands at 3.2 goals per match

All five matches at this venue went over 2.5 goals

The model calculates a 71% probability for Columbus Crew to win or draw

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