Major League Soccer
New York City - New England
09/10/2026, 12:00 AM
预期进球
1.3
3.2
1.9
1:1
11%1:2
10%0:2
7%2:1
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
New York City
New England
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
25%
平局
25%
客胜
50%
进球数
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
62%
Under 2.5
39%
Over 3.5
39%
Under 3.5
61%
双重机会
主胜或平局
50%
客胜或平局
75%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
63%
否
37%
关键因素
- Tactical dominance: New England averaged 7.6 shots on target in recent matches compared to just 4.0 for New York City
- Mathematical advantage: The model predicts a 50% chance of an away win and calculates 1.88 expected goals for New England
- Offensive trend: The hosts' goal scoring has stalled recently, averaging 1.25 goals compared to their season average of 1.64
风险因素
- Fatigue: New England enter the match with a short rest period of only 4 days since their last game
- Defensive vulnerability: New England concede an average of 2.00 goals per away match
- Limited data regarding weather conditions for this match
概述
New York City (7th place, 29 points) host New England (4th place, 37 points) at Citi Field
MLS match on September 10, 2026, 2:00 AM
New England enter as favorites for this clash
近期状态
New York City are winless in 5 matches (Form: LLDDD - L = Loss, D = Draw)
Their last three games ended in draws
New England show mixed form (LWDWL - W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The visitors lost their last away game against LA Galaxy
统计数据
New York City score an average of 1.57 goals per game and concede 1.35
Their goal production stalled recently with an average of 1.25 in recent matches
New England score consistently, averaging 1.61 goals per game
The visitors concede an average of 2.00 goals per away match
历史交锋
5 head-to-head matches in recent years
New York City secured 3 wins, New England won 1 time
The last direct meeting ended in a 1-1 draw
The overall goal difference stands at 6-4 in favor of New York City
关键球员
Nicolás Fernández Mercau leads the hosts with 14 goals this season
Agustín Ojeda has already provided 6 assists this season
Carles Gil is the key midfielder for the visitors with 9 goals and 4 assists
Dor Turgeman has contributed 6 goals and 5 assists this season
门将
Matt Freese has started 23 matches in goal for the hosts
Matt Turner has also guarded the net in 23 games for the visitors
The visiting goalkeeper has a higher average rating of 7.14 compared to his counterpart at 6.94
影响因素
The match will take place at Citi Field
Previous games at this venue produced an average of 2.33 goals per match
Both teams scored in 67% of those fixtures
New England travel with just 4 days of rest compared to 6 days for the hosts