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Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC - New York RB

09/10/2026, 02:30 AM

2 : 0
预期进球
Los Angeles FC
1.9
Total xG
2.9
New York RB
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
LAFNYR

Los Angeles FC

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.70
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.36
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
-0.32
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第27位, 相差24位)
+0.13
Mark Delgado替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Tyler Boyd替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Timothy Tillman未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)

New York RB

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.26
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.21
排名劣势 (第27位 vs 第3位, 相差24位)
-0.18
Julian Hall替补席 (9球, 3助攻)
Jorge Ruvalcaba替补席 (7球, 0助攻)
Ronald Donkor未进大名单 (1球, 4助攻)
51%进球产出缺失 (仅62%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

56%

平局

25%

客胜

18%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

82%

客胜或平局

44%

非平局

75%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • New York RB travels highly depleted as the absence of Julian Hall (9 goals) and Jorge Ruvalcaba (7 goals) leaves only 63% of their usual goal threat
  • Significant home defensive advantage for Los Angeles FC, conceding just 0.73 goals per home game compared to 2.30 away goals conceded by New York RB
  • The mathematical model projects a 56% win probability for Los Angeles FC
风险因素
  • Both teams are currently in a form slump, being winless in their last five competitive matches
  • Both Los Angeles FC and New York RB show declining offensive output, each averaging just 0.75 goals recently
  • New York RB averaged only 3.6 shots on target in recent matches
概述

Los Angeles FC (3rd place, 37 points) host New York RB (27th place, 4 points) at BMO Stadium

MLS match on September 10, 2026, 4:30 AM

The hosts enter this matchup as the clear favorites

近期状态

Los Angeles FC form: LLDDD with 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 games

New York RB form: LLDLD with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses recently

Both teams are currently on a five-match winless run

统计数据

Los Angeles FC scores 1.58 goals and concedes 1.00 per match on average this season

At home, the Los Angeles FC defense concedes only 0.73 goals per game

New York RB concedes 2.00 goals per game overall and 2.30 goals per game on the road

历史交锋

There has been only one previous direct meeting on April 21, 2024

That game ended in an entertaining 2:2 draw

Neither team holds a historical advantage over the other

关键球员

Denis Bouanga leads Los Angeles FC with 12 goals and 5 assists this season

Heung-min Son has contributed 5 goals and 9 assists to the home team's attack

New York RB relies on Cade Cowell with 2 goals and 6 assists alongside Emil Forsberg with 3 goals and 4 assists

门将

Hugo Lloris guards the net for Los Angeles FC with 12 clean sheets and a 6.94 season rating

Ethan Horvath has recorded 2 clean sheets and a 6.78 average rating for New York RB

影响因素

Strong home field advantage for Los Angeles FC who concede only 0.73 goals per match at BMO Stadium

The match will be played on a natural grass pitch

BMO Stadium averages 2.20 total goals per fixture

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