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Major League Soccer

St. Louis City - Toronto

09/20/2026, 12:30 AM

3 : 1
预期进球
St. Louis City
1.7
Total xG
2.7
Toronto
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

1:2

6%

3:0

6%
xG 分解
SLCTOR

St. Louis City

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.42
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.34
状态上升 (2.8 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.34
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第12位, 相差7位)
+0.06
Simon Becher替补席 (7球, 4助攻)
Daniel Ethan Edelman替补席 (4球, 3助攻)
24%进球产出缺失 (仅75%可用)

Toronto

排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第5位, 相差7位)
-0.07
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.04
Djordje Mihailovic未进大名单 (2球, 5助攻)
Theo Corbeanu 替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

52%

平局

27%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

48%

非平局

73%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Home and away discrepancy: St. Louis City scores 1.67 goals per home game, while Toronto concedes an average of 3.0 goals away from home
  • Offensive surge: The hosts are currently scoring an average of 2.8 goals per match, significantly higher than their season average of 1.68
  • Tactical metrics: St. Louis averaged 5.4 shots on target in recent matches, while Toronto averaged 5.6 shots on target with a counter-oriented style and 41.2% possession
风险因素
  • Away defensive weakness: Toronto concedes an average of 3.0 goals per away match this season
  • Key absences for the visitors: Djordje Mihailovic (2 goals, 5 assists) is missing from Toronto's midfield due to injury
  • Altered lineup for St. Louis: The hosts must play without the unselected Simon Becher (7 goals, 4 assists) and Daniel Ethan Edelman (4 goals, 3 assists)
概述

St. Louis City hosts Toronto FC at Energizer Park

MLS match on September 20, 2026, 2:30 AM

St. Louis City is in 5th place with 41 points

Toronto is in 12th place with 29 points

The hosts enter the match as favorites

近期状态

St. Louis City is in strong form with three wins and two draws from their last five matches

Most recently, they secured a 4-2 home win against Minnesota United

Toronto recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss

The Canadian side lost their most recent match 0-3 against Orlando City

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

St. Louis City averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.07 goals conceded at home

The hosts' offense is in great form, scoring 2.8 goals per game recently compared to their season average of 1.68

Toronto concedes an average of 3.0 goals per away game

Both teams scored in 18 of St. Louis City's 25 matches

In Toronto's away games, 18 goals were conceded across 6 matches

关键球员

Rafael Navarro has scored 4 goals this season with an average rating of 7.78

Conrad Wallem has recorded 1 goal, 3 assists, and a rating of 6.81

Tomas Totland contributes 2 goals, 4 assists, and a rating of 6.9

Josh Sargent scored 7 goals and provided 2 assists in 18 appearances, rating 7.07

Dániel Sallói has 7 goals, 6 assists, and a season rating of 6.98

Derrick Etienne Jr. has 4 goals and 1 assist with a rating of 6.69

门将

Roman Bürki has played in 23 matches with an average rating of 6.76

Luka Gavran has made 25 appearances with a season rating of 6.76

Both teams have kept 3 clean sheets so far this season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Energizer Park

St. Louis City averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.07 goals conceded in their home matches

An average of 3.6 goals were scored in the last 5 home games

Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 matches

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