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Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders - Minnesota United

09/27/2026, 12:30 AM

3 : 1
预期进球
Seattle Sounders
1.5
Total xG
2.9
Minnesota United
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
SSMU

Seattle Sounders

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
-0.44
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.39
状态上升 (2 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.21
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.09
Paul Rothrock未进大名单 (5球, 1助攻)
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Dejan Joveljić未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅85%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.6球 vs 总体1.3球)

Minnesota United

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.23
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.23
Joaquín Pereyra替补席 (3球, 10助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

28%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

61%

非平局

72%

双方进球

是

59%

否

41%

关键因素
  • Form advantage: Seattle is unbeaten in their last 5 matches, while Minnesota lost 4 of their last 5 games
  • Surface factor: Minnesota United lost all 3 matches played on artificial turf this season
  • Improving attack: Seattle currently scores more frequently (2.0) than their season average of 1.3
风险因素
  • Seattle Sounders with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Defensive vulnerability for Minnesota United with an average of 3.4 goals conceded in recent matches
  • Limited data availability for weather
概述

Seattle Sounders host Minnesota United at Lumen Field

Major League Soccer match on September 27, 2026, 2:30 AM

Seattle sits in 10th place with 32 points, while Minnesota ranks 14th with 29 points

The model's goal prediction is 1.51 goals for Seattle and 1.36 goals for Minnesota

The mathematical model calculates a home win probability of 40%

近期状态

Seattle Sounders form: DDDDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss - 1 win, 4 draws, 0 losses)

Minnesota United travels with a form of DLLLL (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses)

Seattle stabilized recently and remains unbeaten in their last 5 matches

Minnesota is struggling in a severe negative run with four consecutive defeats

统计数据

Seattle averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded per game

Minnesota United averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.77 goals conceded per match

Both teams scored in 18 of Minnesota's 26 matches this season

On artificial turf, Minnesota lost all 3 matches this season with a 5:13 goal record

历史交锋

Even historical record with 5 head-to-head matches

Both teams recorded 1 win each alongside 3 draws

The goal difference stands at 7:6 in favor of Minnesota United

The last encounter on March 22, 2026, ended in a 0:0 draw

关键球员

Albert Rusnák is performing strongly in midfield with 4 goals and 9 assists this season

Kelvin Yeboah leads Minnesota with 14 goals this season

Marcus Caldeira scored 4 goals in his last 4 appearances

Not nominated for Seattle: Paul Rothrock (5T/1A), Kalani Kossa-Rienzi (3T/0A), Dejan Joveljić (3T/0A)

Not nominated for Minnesota: Joaquín Pereyra (3T/10A)

门将

Andrew Thomas guards the net for Seattle with 25 appearances and a 7.1 average rating

Drake Callender made 26 seasonal appearances for Minnesota with a 6.75 rating

Seattle kept 7 clean sheets this season, while Minnesota registered 5 clean sheets

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf at Lumen Field

Seattle has a home record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses on this surface

Minnesota struggled heavily on artificial turf, losing all 3 games on this surface this season

Seattle's home goal record of 18:18 reflects a balanced home performance

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