Major League Soccer
Inter Miami - Austin
04/04/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
1.8
2.9
1.1
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
9%3:1
6%1:2
6%xG 分解
Inter Miami
Austin
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
54%
平局
26%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
46%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
56%
否
44%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts an Inter Miami win with a 54% probability, indicating a clear favorite role for the home team
- Austin's notable defensive vulnerability in away games, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per away match
- Inter Miami's tactical advantage, marked by 60% average possession and 5.2 shots on target in recent matches
风险因素
- Despite compensated absences, only 80% of Austin's active goal production is available, potentially limiting their offensive output
- Inter Miami's season statistics are based entirely on away games, making their home performance for this match an untested variable
- The model predicts a 56% probability for Both Teams To Score, suggesting that both defenses might be susceptible to conceding goals
概述
Inter Miami (3rd place, 10 points) host Austin (11th place, 5 points) in a Major League Soccer match on April 5, 2026, 12:30 AM. Inter Miami aims to solidify their strong league position, while Austin seeks to improve their standing
近期状态
Inter Miami's current form across all competitions is "LWWDW" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss), indicating a strong recent run with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 games. Their last match ended in a win. Austin's form is "DWLLD", reflecting a less consistent period with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches, with their last result being a draw
统计数据
Inter Miami has an average of 1.8 goals scored per game and 1.6 goals conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet. According to advanced statistics, Inter Miami consistently scores around 2.2 goals per game. They have seen both teams score in 3 matches and over 2.5 goals in 4 matches. Austin averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per game, with 2 clean sheets. Advanced statistics indicate Austin consistently scores around 1.2 goals per game. For Austin, both teams scored in 3 matches, and 3 matches had over 2.5 goals. Notably, Inter Miami's season statistics are based entirely on away games, as they have not yet played a home match this season. Austin's away performance shows an average of 1.0 goals scored and a high 2.5 goals conceded per away game, with 0 clean sheets on the road
历史交锋
No previous direct encounters between Inter Miami and Austin are available in the provided dataset
关键球员
For Inter Miami, Lionel Messi is a key attacking force with 4 goals and 1 assist this season, maintaining a stable form with 5 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games and an average rating of 7.89. Midfielder Telasco Segovia has contributed 1 goal and 3 assists this season, though his recent form shows a declining trend with 0 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games and an average rating of 6.60. Attacker Mateo Silvetti has scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist this season, showing stable form with the same contributions in his last 5 appearances and an average rating of 7.01. For Austin, attacker Facundo Torres has provided 2 assists this season, with 1 assist in his last 3 appearances and an average rating of 7.25. Defender Brendan Hines-Ike has scored 1 goal this season and maintained stable form with a rating of 7.16 over his last 5 games. Defender Jon Gallagher has contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 appearances, maintaining stable form with an average rating of 6.82
门将
Inter Miami's goalkeeper Dayne St. Clair has 4 appearances this season with an average rating of 6.43 and 1 clean sheet. Austin's goalkeeper Brad Stuver has made 5 appearances with a higher average rating of 7.21 and 2 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Inter Miami has not played any home games this season, making their home performance an unknown factor. Austin's away defensive record is a concern, having conceded an average of 2.5 goals per away game