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Major League Soccer

Charlotte - Nashville SC

04/11/2026, 11:30 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Charlotte
1.5
Total xG
2.7
Nashville SC
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

7%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
CHANS

Charlotte

小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.67
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
-0.06
Wilfried Zaha未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
14%进球产出缺失 (仅85%可用)

Nashville SC

防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.56
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.31
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.8倍)
-0.25
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
-0.24
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
Sam Surridge替补席 (7球, 0助攻)
Cristian Espinoza替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Hany Mukhtar替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
75%进球产出缺失 (仅47%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体2.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.61
+0.61
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

29%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

71%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Critical absences for Nashville SC significantly weaken the offense: Only 48% of usual starting XI goal threat available
  • Charlotte is strong at home, with a pipeline prediction of 42% for a home win
  • Nashville SC's goal production has recently stalled, their season average is 2.6 goals per game, currently it is 2.3
风险因素
  • Limited data availability for duel statistics in the last 5 games
  • Kristijan Kahlina, Charlotte's goalkeeper, shows a declining form trend
概述

Charlotte (3rd place, 11 points) hosts Nashville SC (1st place, 13 points) in Major League Soccer

The match takes place on April 11, 2026, 7:30 PM

This top-of-the-table clash promises excitement as Charlotte aims to close the gap on the league leaders

近期状态

Charlotte's form is L-W-D-W-W (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The team recorded 3 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 games

Nashville SC's form is D-W-W-W-L

This includes 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 matches

统计数据

Charlotte averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded per game this season

At home, Charlotte averages 1.83 goals scored and only 0.5 goals conceded

Nashville SC averaged 2.17 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded this season

Away from home, Nashville SC averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 goal conceded

Charlotte kept 1 clean sheet at home, while Nashville SC kept 2 clean sheets in away games

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, the record is even

Charlotte and Nashville SC each won 2 games

The goal difference is also even at 5:5

Nashville SC won the last encounter on May 11, 2025, with a score of 2:1

关键球员

Charlotte relies on Pep Biel, who contributed 4 goals and 2 assists in 6 games with an average rating of 7.56

Idan Toklomati scored 2 goals and 1 assist in 6 appearances with a rating of 6.88

Ashley Westwood contributed 1 goal in 6 games and achieved a rating of 7.14

For Nashville SC, Warren Madrigal is important with 2 goals and 2 assists in 6 games and a rating of 7.04

Patrick Yazbek provided 2 assists in 6 matches with a rating of 7.02

Maxwell Woledzi showed a rating of 7.08 in 6 games

门将

Kristijan Kahlina of Charlotte had 1 clean sheet in 6 games and an average rating of 7.53

Brian Schwake of Nashville SC recorded 3 clean sheets in 6 games with an average rating of 6.76

影响因素

Charlotte shows strong offensive and stable defensive performance at home with an average of 1.83 goals scored and only 0.5 goals conceded

Nashville SC's defense is solid away from home with an average of 1.0 goal conceded per game

No weather data or specific venue history is available

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