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Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC - Orlando City

04/05/2026, 01:30 AM

6 : 0
预期进球
Los Angeles FC
2.0
Total xG
2.9
Orlando City
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
LAFOC

Los Angeles FC

防守不足 (场均失0球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-1.97
最近5场中5场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.12
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第13位, 相差12位)
+0.11
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.03
David Martínez替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
Stephen Eustaquio未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
46%进球产出缺失 (仅72%可用)

Orlando City

小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-0.13
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第1位, 相差12位)
-0.13
21%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.4球 vs 总体1球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.56
+0.56
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

59%

平局

24%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

34%

Under 3.5

66%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

41%

非平局

76%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Los Angeles FC's exceptional form and defense: The team is undefeated this season and has conceded no goals, reflected in their 1st place in the standings
  • Orlando City's poor form and defense: The team has a record of 1 win and 4 losses, sits in 13th place, and concedes an average of 3.4 goals per game
  • Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis predicts a high home win probability of 59% for Los Angeles FC
风险因素
  • Orlando City's high susceptibility to conceding goals: The team concedes an average of 3.4 goals per game (goalsConcededAvg)
  • Limited data availability for total duels in the last 5 matches for both teams
概述

Los Angeles FC host Orlando City in Major League Soccer. The match will take place on April 5, 2026, 2:30 AM. Los Angeles FC are in excellent form, sitting in 1st place with 13 points. Orlando City, however, are struggling in 13th place with 3 points, fighting against relegation.

近期状态

Los Angeles FC are in excellent shape with a form of WWWWD (4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses) in their last five matches across all competitions. Their most recent match was a 0-0 draw against Austin. Prior to that, they secured a 2-0 win against St. Louis City and a 1-0 win against Dallas.

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Orlando City's form is LLLWL (1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses). Most recently, Orlando City lost 0-5 to Nashville SC. This followed a 2-1 win against CF Montréal, a 0-5 loss against New York City, and a 2-4 loss against Inter Miami.

统计数据

Los Angeles FC has scored an average of 1.6 goals per game this season and conceded an average of 0 goals. The team kept 5 clean sheets and both teams scored in 0 matches. There were over 2.5 goals in 1 match.

Orlando City averages 1.0 goal per game while conceding an average of 3.4 goals. Orlando City has not kept any clean sheets this season, and both teams scored in 3 matches. There were over 2.5 goals in 5 matches.

历史交锋

There has only been one direct encounter between Los Angeles FC and Orlando City. This match took place on June 15, 2024, with Orlando City winning 3-1 at home.

关键球员

For Los Angeles FC, Mark Delgado is a key player with 1 goal and 1 assist and an average rating of 7.33, Denis Bouanga has 1 goal and 1 assist (7.17), and Heung-min Son has 0 goals and 2 assists (7.13). David Martínez (2 goals, 0 assists) and Stephen Eustaquio (1 goal, 1 assist) are not nominated.

Notable players for Orlando City include Martín Ojeda with 2 goals and 0 assists (7.09), Iván Angulo with 0 goals and 2 assists (6.73), and Marco Pašalić with 1 goal and 0 assists (6.5).

门将

Los Angeles FC's goalkeeper, Hugo Lloris, has kept 5 clean sheets this season. Orlando City's goalkeeper, Maxime Crépeau, has not managed any clean sheets this season.

影响因素

Los Angeles FC demonstrates strong home performance, having conceded an average of 0 goals at home.

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