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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Argentinos Juniors - Lanús

03/27/2026, 12:00 AM

2 : 1
预期进球
Argentinos Juniors
1.4
Total xG
2.2
Lanús
0.8
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

14%

0:0

13%

2:0

11%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
AJLAN

Argentinos Juniors

防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.51
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.34倍)
+0.31
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
-0.13
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.06
主场表现强势 (场均1.6球 vs 总体1球)
全员可用

Lanús

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.13
Dylan Aquino未进大名单 (5球, 1助攻)
22%进球产出缺失 (仅93%可用)
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.6球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.49
-0.49
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

48%

平局

31%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

37%

Under 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

52%

非平局

69%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates Argentinos Juniors as winners with 48% probability
  • Defensive Strength: Argentinos Juniors' home defense is very robust, conceding only 0.17 goals per home game
  • Tactical Superiority: Argentinos Juniors dominates possession (62.8%) and has more shots on target than their opponent
风险因素
  • Home Attacking Weakness: Argentinos Juniors scores an average of only 0.67 home goals per game
概述

Argentinos Juniors (8th place, 14 points) host Lanús (4th place, 18 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

The match takes place on March 26, 2026, 9:00 PM

Argentinos Juniors aims to move up from mid-table, while Lanús seeks to consolidate its top position

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Argentinos Juniors shows a form of WDDDW in their last five matches

The home team achieved 2 wins and 3 draws

The last matchday ended with a win (1-0 against Platense)

Lanús shows a form of DLWWW

The away team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Lanús has recently secured 3 consecutive wins, including a 1-0 against Vélez Sarsfield and a 5-0 against Newell's Old Boys

统计数据

Argentinos Juniors averages 0.67 goals scored per game and concedes 0.44 goals

In home games, the team also scores 0.67 times and concedes only 0.17 goals

Six clean sheets have been achieved this season, five of them at home

Lanús has a season average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per game

Away from home, Lanús also scores 1.6 goals and concedes 1.4 goals

The team managed to keep a clean sheet in three games this season, two of them away

Argentinos Juniors dominates possession with an average of 62.8% and 4.4 shots on target per game

Lanús shows a balanced game with 50% possession and 4.2 shots on target per game

Both teams scored in 3 of Argentinos Juniors' 9 games and in 5 of Lanús' 10 games

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams so far

Argentinos Juniors secured 1 win, while Lanús has none

The last encounter on July 30, 2024, ended in a 2-0 home victory for Argentinos Juniors

Argentinos Juniors has shown dominance in direct encounters

关键球员

For Argentinos Juniors, Francisco Álvarez (Defender) is a key player with 1 goal and 0 assists, holding an average rating of 7.29

Alan Lescano (Midfielder) contributed 1 goal and 0 assists with a rating of 7.05

Hernán López Muñoz (Midfielder) also scored 1 goal and 0 assists with a rating of 7.03

On Lanús' side, Ramiro Carrera (Midfielder) stands out with 1 goal and 3 assists, with an average rating of 7.02

Eduardo Salvio (Attacker) contributed 1 goal and 3 assists with a rating of 6.78

Walter Bou (Attacker) scored 2 goals and 0 assists with a rating of 6.83, with his form rising in the last 5 games

门将

Brayan Josué Cortés Fernández is Argentinos Juniors' goalkeeper and made 9 season appearances with a rating of 6.97

Argentinos Juniors' team kept 6 clean sheets this season

Nahuel Losada is Lanús' goalkeeper and made 9 season appearances with a rating of 6.92

Lanús' team achieved 3 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Argentinos Juniors shows a solid defense at home with an average of 0.17 goals conceded per home game

Lanús scored 1.6 goals per game away but conceded 1.4 goals per away game

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