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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Aldosivi - Argentinos Juniors

03/31/2026, 05:00 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Aldosivi
0.9
Total xG
2.0
Argentinos Juniors
1.1
最可能的比分

0:0

16%

1:1

15%

0:1

14%

1:0

10%

0:2

9%
xG 分解
ALDAJ

Aldosivi

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.6倍)
-0.58
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.39
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.32
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.2球)
-0.07
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第7位, 相差7位)
-0.06
状态下滑 (0.2 vs 0.4 赛季平均)
-0.05
主场表现强势 (场均0.7球 vs 总体0.4球)
全员可用

Argentinos Juniors

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.59倍)
+0.25
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.04
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第14位, 相差7位)
+0.04
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.01
全员可用

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.49
-0.49
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

26%

平局

34%

客胜

39%

进球数

Over 1.5

60%

Under 1.5

40%

Over 2.5

31%

Under 2.5

69%

Over 3.5

14%

Under 3.5

86%

双重机会

主胜或平局

61%

客胜或平局

74%

非平局

66%

双方进球

40%

60%

关键因素
  • Favoritism: Argentinos Juniors are clear favorites with a 39% win probability according to mathematical analysis, while Aldosivi are projected at only 26%
  • Current Form: Argentinos Juniors are unbeaten in their last 5 games (2 wins, 3 draws), while Aldosivi recorded 3 losses and no wins in the same period
  • Offense vs. Defense: Aldosivi's goal production is struggling (averaging 0.3 goals per game), while Argentinos Juniors consistently scores (~1.2 goals per game) and concedes an average of only 0.5 goals
风险因素
  • Aldosivi scores only 0.33 home goals per game on average this season
  • Aldosivi averaged only 1.6 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating few attempts on goal
  • Mathematical analysis predicts a 31% chance for over 2.5 goals, suggesting a potentially low-scoring match
概述

Aldosivi (14th place, 5 points) host Argentinos Juniors (7th place, 17 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

The match is scheduled for March 31, 2026, 6:00 PM

Argentinos Juniors are clear favorites with a 39% win probability according to mathematical analysis, while Aldosivi are projected with a 26% win probability

近期状态

Aldosivi's form in the last five matches (LLDDL) shows 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses

Their last result was a loss

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Argentinos Juniors, however, show better form with (DDDWW) comprising 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses

They have won their last two matches consecutively

统计数据

Aldosivi scored an average of 0.3 goals per game and conceded 1.1 goals per game

At home, the average is 0.33 goals scored and 0.33 goals conceded

Aldosivi kept 3 clean sheets in home games

Argentinos Juniors scored an average of 0.8 goals per game and conceded 0.5 goals per game

In away matches, they scored 1.0 goals and conceded 1.5 goals

Argentinos Juniors kept 6 clean sheets this season and one in away matches

历史交锋

In the 2 direct encounters, both Aldosivi and Argentinos Juniors have 1 win each

The goal difference is balanced at 2:2 goals

The last match on September 27, 2025, ended in a 0:2 away victory for Argentinos Juniors

关键球员

For Aldosivi, the following players are notable: Federico Gino (2 goals this season, 1 goal in the last 5 games), Nicolás Cordero (1 goal and 1 assist this season), Nicolás Zalazar (average rating of 7.15 this season)

For Argentinos Juniors, the following are notable: Francisco Álvarez (1 goal this season, 1 goal in the last 5 games), Hernán López Muñoz (2 goals this season and in the last 5 games), Nicolás Oroz (1 goal and 1 assist this season and in the last 5 games with a rising form trend)

门将

Aldosivi's goalkeeper, Axel Werner, made 10 appearances and kept 3 clean sheets

For Argentinos Juniors, Brayan Josué Cortés Fernández played in 10 matches and kept 6 clean sheets

影响因素

Aldosivi averages 0.33 goals scored at home and 0.33 goals conceded

Argentinos Juniors averages 1.0 goals scored away and 1.5 goals conceded

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