🇦🇷

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Deportivo Riestra - San Lorenzo

03/25/2026, 10:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Deportivo Riestra
1.0
Total xG
1.7
San Lorenzo
0.7
最可能的比分

0:0

21%

1:0

16%

1:1

14%

0:1

12%

2:0

9%
xG 分解
DRSL

Deportivo Riestra

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.18
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第3位, 相差11位)
-0.12
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0球)
-0.10
状态下滑 (0 vs 0.3 赛季平均)
-0.10
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.05
16%进球产出缺失 (仅83%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.1球 vs 总体0.3球)

San Lorenzo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.67倍)
-0.45
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.29
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第14位, 相差11位)
+0.04
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.01
M. de Ritis替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.6球 vs 总体1.2球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.49
-0.49
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

38%

平局

38%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

51%

Under 1.5

49%

Over 2.5

23%

Under 2.5

77%

Over 3.5

9%

Under 3.5

91%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

63%

双方进球

33%

67%

关键因素
  • Deportivo Riestra has a very low goal output at home, averaging only 0.2 goals per home game
  • San Lorenzo currently shows a positive offensive trend, scoring more frequently (1.5 goals) than their season average (1.3 goals)
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a high probability of a draw (38%) or a home win (38%)
风险因素
  • Deportivo Riestra scores only an average of 0.2 home goals per game
  • San Lorenzo is without M. de Ritis, who contributes 29% of the team's season assists
概述

Deportivo Riestra (14th place, 6 points) host San Lorenzo (3rd place, 0 points) in a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on March 25, 2026, 11:00 PM. The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 38% probability and a draw with 38% probability

近期状态

Deportivo Riestra's form across all competitions is DDDDL (0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss)

Their last match was a loss (0-1 against Central Cordoba SdE)

Before that, they had four consecutive draws, including 0-0 against Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza and 0-0 against Platense

San Lorenzo's form is WDDDL (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss)

Their last game was a loss (2-5 against Defensa y Justicia)

Previously, they drew three times, including 1-1 against Boca Juniors and 0-0 against Talleres Córdoba

统计数据

Deportivo Riestra scores an average of 0.2 goals and concedes 0.6 goals per game this season

At home, they score 0.2 goals and concede 0.4 goals on average

The team kept 4 clean sheets this season and failed to score in 8 matches

San Lorenzo scores an average of 1.0 goals and concedes 1.1 goals per game

Away from home, they score 1.0 goals and concede 1.0 goals on average

San Lorenzo recorded 5 clean sheets this season and failed to score in 3 matches

历史交锋

In the 3 head-to-head matches played so far, Deportivo Riestra and San Lorenzo each have one win, with one draw

Both teams scored 1 goal each in these encounters

San Lorenzo won the last meeting 1-0 on October 31, 2025

关键球员

For Deportivo Riestra, Antony Alonso (1 goal, 0 assists), Cristian Paz (0 goals, 0 assists), and Pablo Monje (0 goals, 0 assists) are important players

For San Lorenzo, Alexis Cuello (3 goals, 3 assists), Luciano Vietto (2 goals, 0 assists), and Gregorio Rodríguez (2 goals, 0 assists) are key players

Not nominated for San Lorenzo: M. de Ritis (0G/2A)

门将

Deportivo Riestra's goalkeeper Ignacio Arce has 4 clean sheets

For San Lorenzo, José Devecchi is starting

San Lorenzo recorded 5 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Deportivo Riestra scores an average of 0.2 goals and concedes 0.4 goals at home

San Lorenzo scores an average of 1.0 goals and concedes 1.0 goals away from home

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。