🇦🇷

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Huracán - Barracas Central

03/24/2026, 12:15 AM

0 : 0
预期进球
Huracán
1.4
Total xG
2.0
Barracas Central
0.6
最可能的比分

1:0

17%

0:0

15%

1:1

13%

2:0

13%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
HURBC

Huracán

小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
-0.34
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.10
Jordy Caicedo未进大名单 (5球, 0助攻)
Óscar Cortés替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
72%进球产出缺失 (仅36%可用)

Barracas Central

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.43倍)
-0.45
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.24
防守不足 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均0.8球)
+0.17
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.09
状态上升 (1.4 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.09
客场表现不佳 (场均0.4球 vs 总体1.1球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.48
-0.48
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

54%

平局

31%

客胜

15%

进球数

Over 1.5

61%

Under 1.5

39%

Over 2.5

32%

Under 2.5

68%

Over 3.5

14%

Under 3.5

86%

双重机会

主胜或平局

85%

客胜或平局

46%

非平局

69%

双方进球

36%

64%

关键因素
  • Huracán's offensive weakness: Only 36% of the usual starting XI goal threat is available due to missing key players (Jordy Caicedo, Óscar Cortés)
  • Mathematical prediction: Huracán is favored with a home win probability of 54%
  • Tactical differences: Huracán employs a balanced playing style with 53% possession, while Barracas Central operates counter-attack oriented with 37% possession
风险因素
  • Huracán's current form shows an inconsistent performance with only 1 win in 5 games (DLWLD)
  • The head-to-head record is even, indicating no clear advantage in past encounters
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a low probability for over 2.5 goals (32%), suggesting a tight match
概述

Huracán (7th place, 0 points) host Barracas Central (7th place, 15 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

The match takes place on March 24, 2026, 1:15 AM

The mathematical analysis sees Huracán as favorites with a home win probability of 54%

近期状态

Huracán's form (all competitions): DLWLD

The team recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last five games

Barracas Central shows a form of LWDWW

The team achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last five matches

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Huracán scored an average of 0.9 goals and conceded 0.9 goals per game this season

In home games, they averaged 0.88 goals scored and 0.62 goals conceded

Barracas Central scored an average of 1 goal and conceded 0.9 goals per match

Away, the team scored an average of 1 goal and conceded an average of 1.67 goals

Huracán kept 4 clean sheets, Barracas Central 2 clean sheets

For Huracán, over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 games, and also in 3 games for Barracas Central

历史交锋

In 3 head-to-head matches, there was 1 win for Huracán, 1 win for Barracas Central, and 1 draw

Huracán scored 3 goals, Barracas Central scored 2 goals

The last encounter on November 17, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw

The recent head-to-head record between the teams is even

关键球员

For Huracán, Thaiel Peralta (Midfielder) is important with 2 season goals and a rising form trend

César Ibáñez (Defender) contributed 1 season assist and shows stable form

Ignacio Campo (Defender) also has 1 season assist and stable form

For Barracas Central, Rodrigo Insúa (Defender) is a key player with 2 season goals

Facundo Bruera (Attacker) scored 1 goal and 1 assist this season

Jhonatan Candia (Attacker) scored 1 goal in the season

门将

Sebastián Meza is Huracán's goalkeeper

Huracán achieved 4 clean sheets this season

Marcelo Miño guards the goal for Barracas Central

Marcelo Miño has a season rating of 7.66 and his form is rising with 7.91 in the last 5 games

Barracas Central kept 2 clean sheets

影响因素

Huracán scored an average of 0.88 goals at home and conceded 0.62 goals

Barracas Central scored an average of 1 goal away and conceded 1.67 goals

No data on venue history, weather, or pitch surface is available

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。