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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Gimnasia La Plata - Huracán

04/05/2026, 06:30 PM

0 : 3
预期进球
Gimnasia La Plata
1.2
Total xG
2.4
Huracán
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

0:1

10%

1:0

9%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
GLPHUR

Gimnasia La Plata

防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.33
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
-0.09
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.03
全员可用

Huracán

小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
-0.49
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.10
Thaiel Peralta替补席 (2球, 0助攻)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.50
-0.50
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

31%

客胜

35%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

65%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

69%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • Close Prediction: The model slightly favors Huracán with a 35% win probability over Gimnasia at 34%
  • Huracán's Form Trend: The team is currently scoring more frequently (avg 1.3 goals) than their season average (avg 1.1 goals)
  • Gimnasia's Home Form: The home team has suffered 2 consecutive losses recently
风险因素
  • Huracán's Away Defense: The team concedes an average of 2.00 goals per away game
  • Gimnasia's Defensive Vulnerability: The home team recently conceded an average of 1.8 goals, higher than their season average of 1.5 goals
概述

Gimnasia La Plata host Huracán in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on April 5, 2026, 6:30 PM

Gimnasia currently holds the 2nd place in the table, while Huracán is in 7th place

The mathematical analysis predicts a very close encounter with a home win probability of 34% and an away win probability of 35%

近期状态

Gimnasia La Plata's current form is L-D-W-L-L

The team recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches

They suffered 2 consecutive losses recently

Huracán shows a form of L-W-L-D-D

In their last 5 games, they achieved 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

The team drew 2 consecutive times recently

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Gimnasia La Plata scores an average of 1.18 goals per game and concedes 1.36 goals per game

The home team kept 2 clean sheets and both teams scored in 6 matches

More than 2.5 goals were scored in 6 games

On average, Gimnasia La Plata scores 1.14 goals at home and concedes 1.00 goals

Huracán scores an average of 0.82 goals per game and concedes 0.82 goals per game

The away team kept 5 clean sheets and both teams scored in 5 matches

More than 2.5 goals were scored in 3 games

On average, Huracán scores 1.00 goals away and concedes 2.00 goals

历史交锋

The teams have met in 1 head-to-head match so far

This match ended in a draw

The last encounter was a 0:0 on November 1, 2024

The historical record shows no clear dominance from either team

关键球员

For Gimnasia La Plata, Marcelo Torres (Attacker) is in good form with 4 season goals and 1 assist

Nicolás Barros Schelotto (Midfielder) scored 3 goals and provided 2 assists with stable form

Nacho Fernández (Midfielder) has 1 goal and 2 assists, showing a rising form trend

For Huracán, Jordy Caicedo (Attacker) stands out with 5 season goals

Óscar Cortés (Attacker) contributed 1 goal and 2 assists, showing stable form

Emmanuel Ojeda (Midfielder) has 1 assist and stable form

门将

Gimnasia La Plata's goalkeeper, Nelson Insfrán, has an average rating of 6.72 in 9 season appearances and a rising form

Gimnasia La Plata recorded 2 clean sheets

Huracán's goalkeeper, Hernán Galíndez, has an average rating of 6.93 in 10 season appearances and also a rising form

Huracán achieved 5 clean sheets

影响因素

Gimnasia La Plata scores an average of 1.14 goals at home and concedes 1.00 goals

Huracán scores an average of 1.00 goals away and concedes 2.00 goals

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