🇦🇷

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia

04/02/2026, 08:30 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Tigre
1.0
Total xG
1.9
Independiente Rivadavia
0.9
最可能的比分

0:0

17%

1:1

15%

1:0

13%

0:1

12%

2:0

7%
xG 分解
TIGIR

Tigre

小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.19
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.18
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.18
排名劣势 (第7位 vs 第1位, 相差6位)
-0.06
全员可用

Independiente Rivadavia

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均0.8球)
+0.25
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.07
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第7位, 相差6位)
+0.03
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.01
Gonzalo Ríos替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Alejo Osella替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
14%进球产出缺失 (仅96%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.6球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.49
-0.49
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

35%

平局

36%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

57%

Under 1.5

43%

Over 2.5

29%

Under 2.5

71%

Over 3.5

12%

Under 3.5

88%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

65%

非平局

64%

双方进球

38%

62%

关键因素
  • Independiente Rivadavia, as league leaders (1st place, 23 points), are in a significantly better starting position than Tigre (7th place, 17 points)
  • Current form favors the visitors, who recently won 2 consecutive games (DDLWW) compared to Tigre's winless streak (LDDDL)
  • Tigre's goal production is currently stagnating (1.0 goals per game) compared to their season average (1.6 goals per game)
风险因素
  • The pipeline analysis predicts a tight game with 35% home win, 36% draw, and 30% away win probability
  • Only a 29% probability for over 2.5 goals according to mathematical prediction
  • Tigre averaged 4.6 shots on target in recent matches, Independiente Rivadavia 5.0
概述

Tigre (7th place, 17 points) host Independiente Rivadavia (1st place, 23 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

The match takes place on April 2, 2026, 8:30 PM

Tigre aims to close the gap to the top spots, while Independiente Rivadavia seeks to consolidate their league leadership

近期状态

Tigre currently shows poor form with 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 games (LDDDL)

Their last match resulted in a loss

Independiente Rivadavia is in better shape with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss (DDLWW)

The team won their last two matches

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Tigre scored an average of 1.45 goals per game this season and conceded 0.91 goals

Independiente Rivadavia has an average of 1.64 goals scored and 1.09 goals conceded per game

Tigre maintains a solid defense at home with only 0.71 goals conceded per home game

Independiente Rivadavia shows strong offensive performance away with an average of 1.75 goals per away game

历史交锋

In the 3 previous head-to-head matches, there has been one win each for Tigre and Independiente Rivadavia, and one draw

Tigre scored a total of 5 goals, Independiente Rivadavia 4 goals

The last encounter on August 22, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw

The head-to-head record is even

关键球员

For Tigre, David Romero (6 goals, 2 assists), Ignacio Russo (4 goals, 2 assists), and Alan Barrionuevo (2 goals, 2 assists) are key players in the starting lineup

Romero has a season average rating of 7.01, Russo 7.32

For Independiente Rivadavia, Fabrizio Sartori (5 goals, 0 assists), Sebastián Villa (0 goals, 3 assists), and Matías Fernández (2 goals, 0 assists) are in the starting lineup

Villa has a season average rating of 7.47

Not in squad for Independiente Rivadavia: Gonzalo Ríos (1G/2A), Alejo Osella (3G/0A)

门将

Tigre's goalkeeper Felipe Zenobio recorded an average rating of 6.85 in 10 season appearances

Independiente Rivadavia's goalkeeper Nicolás Bolcato played in 11 season matches with an average rating of 6.66

Tigre achieved 3 clean sheets this season

Independiente Rivadavia kept 2 clean sheets

影响因素

Tigre scores an average of 1.43 goals at home and concedes 0.71 goals per game

Independiente Rivadavia shows a strong offense away with 1.75 goals and a solid defense with 1.00 goals conceded per away game

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。