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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Lanús - Platense

04/01/2026, 11:00 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Lanús
1.3
Total xG
2.1
Platense
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

13%

2:0

10%

0:1

9%
xG 分解
LANPLA

Lanús

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.24倍)
+0.19
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
-0.14
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.09
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第10位, 相差6位)
+0.04
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.01
Ramiro Carrera未进大名单 (2球, 3助攻)
Walter Bou未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
60%进球产出缺失 (仅51%可用)

Platense

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.2球)
-0.20
状态下滑 (0.3 vs 0.9 赛季平均)
-0.16
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.45倍)
+0.11
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第4位, 相差6位)
-0.06
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
-0.04
100%进球产出缺失 (仅26%可用)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.48
-0.48
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

44%

平局

32%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

56%

非平局

68%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • Critical squad impact for Lanús: Only 52% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is available, without Ramiro Carrera (2G/3A) and Walter Bou (2G/0A)
  • Critical squad impact for Platense: Only 26% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is available
  • Form and prediction: Lanús shows better form with 3 wins in their last 5 games compared to Platense (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses), supporting the model's 44% home win probability
风险因素
  • Lanús has only 5 days since their last match, potentially impacting freshness
  • Platense shows low offensive output in their last 5 games, averaging 3.2 shots on target
  • The model's low BTTS (43%) and Over 2.5 (36%) probabilities suggest a tight, potentially low-scoring game
概述

Lanús (4th place, 18 points) host Platense (10th place, 14 points) in a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match. The game takes place on April 2, 2026, 12:00 AM. Lanús aims to solidify its top league position, while Platense tries to climb the table.

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Lanús' form across all competitions is LWWWL

Recently, Lanús recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses

The last result was a loss, marking a streak of 1 consecutive loss

Lanús lost away 1-2 against Argentinos Juniors

Prior to that, there was a 1-0 away win against Vélez Sarsfield

Platense's form across all competitions is DDDLL

Recently, Platense recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses

The last result was a loss, marking a streak of 2 consecutive losses

Platense lost away 0-1 against Argentinos Juniors

Prior to that, there was a 0-2 away loss against Vélez Sarsfield

统计数据

Lanús scored an average of 1.55 goals per game this season and conceded 1.27 goals

Platense scored an average of 0.55 goals per game and conceded 0.64 goals

Lanús kept 3 clean sheets, while Platense kept 5 clean sheets

In 6 games for Lanús, more than 2.5 goals were scored, compared to 2 games for Platense

In home games, Lanús scored an average of 1.6 goals and conceded 1.0 goals

In away games, Platense scored an average of 0.6 goals and conceded 0.6 goals

历史交锋

In the 3 previous head-to-head matches, there has been 1 win for Lanús and 2 draws

Platense has not won any head-to-head match so far

Lanús scored 2 goals in these matches, Platense scored 1 goal

The last encounter saw Lanús win 2-1 on September 20, 2025

Lanús has shown dominance in recent encounters at home

关键球员

For Lanús, Eduardo Salvio is a key player, contributing 1 goal and 3 assists this season, with an average rating of 6.74

Carlos Izquierdoz scored 2 goals and received a season rating of 7.05

Sasha Marcich contributed 1 goal and 1 assist, achieving an average season rating of 6.85

For Platense, Juan Carlos Gauto is an important player, contributing 1 assist this season, with an average rating of 6.56

Victor Cuesta showed consistent performance with an average season rating of 7.05

Tomás Silva achieved an average season rating of 6.91

门将

Nahuel Losada is the goalkeeper for Lanús, who recorded 3 clean sheets this season

Matías Borgogno is the goalkeeper for Platense, who recorded 5 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Lanús shows a stronger offense in home games with an average of 1.6 goals scored and a stable defense with 1.0 goals conceded

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