Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Barracas Central - Sarmiento
04/02/2026, 06:00 PM
预期进球
1.1
1.9
0.8
0:0
16%1:1
15%1:0
15%0:1
10%2:0
9%xG 分解
Barracas Central
Sarmiento
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
42%
平局
34%
客胜
24%
进球数
Over 1.5
60%
Under 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
31%
Under 2.5
69%
Over 3.5
13%
Under 3.5
87%
双重机会
主胜或平局
76%
客胜或平局
58%
非平局
66%
双方进球
是
39%
否
61%
关键因素
- Pipeline forecast: The mathematical analysis favors Barracas Central with a home win probability of 42%
- Current form: Barracas Central is unbeaten in their last 5 games (WDWWD)
- Offensive form: Barracas Central is currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.1)
风险因素
- Playmaker missing: Tomás Porra (0G/2A) is not in the lineup, affecting 17% of Barracas Central's usual assists
- Low shot efficiency: Barracas Central averaged 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Low shot efficiency: Sarmiento averaged 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述
Barracas Central (8th place, 16 points) host Sarmiento (12th place, 13 points) on April 2, 2026, 8:00 PM in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol
The home side holds a slight favorite role in this mid-table clash
The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 42% probability, while a draw is at 34%
近期状态
Barracas Central shows strong form with WDWWD (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) in their last five matches
Their last game ended in a draw
Sarmiento enters this encounter with a form of LWDLW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
Sarmiento's last match was a win
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Barracas Central scores an average of 0.91 goals per game and concedes 0.82 goals
At home, the average is 0.88 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded
Sarmiento scores an average of 0.73 goals per game and concedes 1.0 goal
Away from home, Sarmiento scores an average of 1.0 goal but concedes 7.0 goals (based on one away game)
Barracas Central has kept 3 clean sheets, Sarmiento has kept 4 clean sheets this season
历史交锋
In the 3 previous head-to-head matches, there was 1 win for Sarmiento and 2 draws
Barracas Central has not won any of the previous 3 encounters
The goal difference is 2:3 in favor of Sarmiento
The last meeting on September 20, 2025, ended with a 0:1 victory for Sarmiento
关键球员
For Barracas Central, Marcelo Miño is important with a rising form and an average rating of 8.07 in the last five games
Rodrigo Insúa is a key offensive factor with 2 season goals and one goal in the last five matches
Facundo Bruera contributed 1 goal and 1 assist this season and showed stable form in the last five games with 1 goal and 1 assist
For Sarmiento, Junior Marabel stands out with 5 season goals and 3 goals in the last five matches
Cristian Zabala scored 1 season goal and 1 goal in the last five games
Goalkeeper Javier Burrai is a reliable presence with a stable form trend and a rating of 7.40 in the last five games
门将
Barracas Central's goalkeeper Marcelo Miño maintains an average rating of 8.07 in the last five games and shows a rising form trend
He has recorded 3 clean sheets this season
Sarmiento's goalkeeper Javier Burrai has an average rating of 7.40 in the last five matches and a stable form trend
Sarmiento achieved 4 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Barracas Central displays a solid defense at home, conceding an average of 0.5 goals per home game
The offensive performance at home averages 0.88 goals per game