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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Central Cordoba SdE - Newell's Old Boys

04/05/2026, 11:30 PM

1 : 3
预期进球
Central Cordoba SdE
0.9
Total xG
1.7
Newell's Old Boys
0.8
最可能的比分

0:0

19%

1:1

15%

1:0

14%

0:1

13%

2:0

7%
xG 分解
CCSNOB

Central Cordoba SdE

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.54倍)
-0.17
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第1位, 相差11位)
-0.11
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
+0.07
状态上升 (0.8 vs 0.6 赛季平均)
+0.07
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.02
全员可用

Newell's Old Boys

防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均0.8球)
+1.16
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.76倍)
-0.15
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.10
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.07
状态下滑 (0.4 vs 0.6 赛季平均)
-0.07
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第12位, 相差11位)
+0.04
Walter Núñez替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.49
-0.49
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

37%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

54%

Under 1.5

46%

Over 2.5

25%

Under 2.5

75%

Over 3.5

10%

Under 3.5

90%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

63%

双方进球

35%

65%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: The model predicts a draw as the most likely outcome (37%), with a home win at 33% and an away win at 30%
  • Defensive Strength vs. Weakness: Central Cordoba's strong home defense (averaging 0.11 goals conceded at home) contrasts with Newell's Old Boys' vulnerable away defense (averaging 4.33 goals conceded away)
  • Low Goal Expectation: Both teams have low offensive output (Central Cordoba 0.45 goals/game, Newell's 0.64 goals/game), with only a 25% chance for over 2.5 goals
风险因素
  • Central Cordoba SdE scores only an average of 0.44 goals per home game, indicating an offensive weakness
  • Newell's Old Boys concedes an average of 4.33 goals per away game, highlighting their defensive vulnerability on the road
  • Both teams average only 2.6 shots on target in their last 5 games, suggesting difficulties in creating clear scoring opportunities
概述

Central Cordoba SdE (12th place, 12 points) host Newell's Old Boys in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

The match is scheduled for April 5, 2026, 8:30 PM

Central Cordoba is fighting to catch up in the midfield

近期状态

Central Cordoba SdE's recent form is WLDWL

This translates to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

Their last game was a 0-5 away loss against Estudiantes

Newell's Old Boys' recent form is LLDLW

This means 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches

In their last outing, Newell's secured a 1-0 win against Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

统计数据

Central Cordoba SdE averages 0.45 goals scored and 1.09 goals conceded per season

At home, the team scores an average of 0.44 goals and concedes only 0.11 goals

Central Cordoba has kept 5 clean sheets this season, including 4 at home

Newell's Old Boys averages 0.64 goals scored and 2.00 goals conceded per season

Away from home, the team averages 0.67 goals scored but concedes 4.33 goals

Newell's Old Boys has achieved 1 clean sheet this season, none away

Central Cordoba SdE failed to score in 7 matches

Newell's Old Boys failed to score in 5 matches

历史交锋

In 3 head-to-head matches, Central Cordoba SdE has recorded 2 wins

Newell's Old Boys has not won any of the duels, with 1 draw

Central Cordoba scored 6 goals, Newell's Old Boys scored 3 goals

The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on August 9, 2025

Central Cordoba SdE has been the more dominant side in recent meetings

关键球员

For Central Cordoba SdE, Michael Santos is an important attacker with 3 season goals

Ezequiel Naya has scored 1 season goal and shows a rising form trend

Diego Barrera has also contributed 1 season goal

For Newell's Old Boys, Facundo Guch is a key player with 1 season goal and 1 assist

Matías Cóccaro has scored 1 season goal and provided 1 assist

Walter Mazzantti has recorded 1 season goal

门将

Central Cordoba SdE's goalkeeper is Alan Aguerre, who has an average rating of 7.11 in 11 season appearances

The team has kept 5 clean sheets this season, with 4 of them at home

Newell's Old Boys' goalkeeper is Josué Reinatti, who has made 0 season appearances so far

The team has kept 1 clean sheet this season, with no clean sheets recorded away from home

影响因素

Central Cordoba SdE demonstrates defensive home strength with an average of 0.44 goals scored and only 0.11 goals conceded at home

Newell's Old Boys shows a distinct away weakness, with an average of 0.67 goals scored and 4.33 goals conceded on the road

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