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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Aldosivi - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

04/04/2026, 04:30 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Aldosivi
1.1
Total xG
1.8
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
0.7
最可能的比分

0:0

18%

1:0

16%

1:1

15%

0:1

10%

2:0

10%
xG 分解
ALDEDRC

Aldosivi

防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.45
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.56倍)
-0.09
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.2球)
-0.05
状态下滑 (0.2 vs 0.4 赛季平均)
-0.04
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
-0.01
Nicolás Cordero替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
28%进球产出缺失 (仅65%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均0.7球 vs 总体0.4球)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均0.8球)
+0.86
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.13
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
+0.03
状态上升 (0.4 vs 0.3 赛季平均)
+0.03
全员可用

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.49
-0.49
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

36%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

55%

Under 1.5

45%

Over 2.5

27%

Under 2.5

73%

Over 3.5

11%

Under 3.5

89%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

64%

双方进球

35%

65%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Aldosivi with a 42% probability
  • Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's away weakness is significant, with an average of 3.25 goals conceded per away game
  • Both teams show low offensive output, scoring only 0.27 goals on average per season and recording few shots on target per game
风险因素
  • Nicolás Cordero is missing for Aldosivi, leaving only 65% of the usual starting eleven's goal threat available
  • Aldosivi has a short recovery time of 4 days since their last match
  • Both teams have averaged less than 2.5 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述

Aldosivi (14th place, 5 points) host Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (15th place, 4 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

The match takes place on April 4, 2026, 1:30 PM

Both teams are deeply involved in the relegation battle at the bottom of the table

近期状态

Aldosivi's home form is LDDLL (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)

Aldosivi has suffered two consecutive losses recently

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's away form is WLLLL (1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has conceded four consecutive losses recently

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Aldosivi averages 0.27 goals scored and 1.18 goals conceded per season

At home, Aldosivi averages 0.25 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto averages 0.27 goals scored and 1.55 goals conceded per season

Away, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto averages 0.25 goals scored and 3.25 goals conceded

Aldosivi kept 3 clean sheets, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto kept 2 clean sheets

Aldosivi failed to score in 8 matches, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto failed to score in 9 matches

历史交锋

No historical head-to-head data is available for this fixture

关键球员

For Aldosivi, Federico Gino (2 goals, Avg. 6.76), Nicolás Zalazar (1 assist, Avg. 7.17) and Axel Werner (Avg. 6.92) are important players

Federico Gino shows stable form with 1 goal in the last 5 games

Nicolás Zalazar has shown stable form in the last 5 games with an average rating of 7.17

For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto, Gabriel Alanís (1 goal, Avg. 6.67), Gonzalo Maffini (1 assist, Avg. 6.84) and Mateo Bajamich (1 goal, Avg. 6.56) are key players

Gabriel Alanís scored 1 goal in the last 5 games and shows stable form

Gonzalo Maffini showed stable form in the last 5 games with 1 assist and an average rating of 6.99

门将

Aldosivi's goalkeeper, Axel Werner, has appeared in 11 season games and achieved 3 clean sheets

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's goalkeeper, Agustín Lastra, has appeared in 6 season games and achieved 2 clean sheets

影响因素

Aldosivi scores an average of 0.25 goals at home and concedes 0.75 goals

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto scores an average of 0.25 goals away and concedes 3.25 goals

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