Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Instituto - Defensa y Justicia
04/07/2026, 12:15 AM
预期进球
1.1
2.0
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
15%1:0
13%0:1
11%2:0
8%xG 分解
Instituto
Defensa y Justicia
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
37%
平局
34%
客胜
29%
进球数
Over 1.5
62%
Under 1.5
38%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%
Over 3.5
15%
Under 3.5
85%
双重机会
主胜或平局
71%
客胜或平局
63%
非平局
66%
双方进球
是
42%
否
58%
关键因素
- Defensa y Justicia's strong away defense with only 0.57 goals conceded per game is a crucial factor
- Defensa y Justicia shows a positive form development, scoring more frequently recently (2.3) than their season average (1.9)
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 37% probability, compared to 29% for an away win
风险因素
- The mathematical analysis shows a relatively high draw probability of 34%
- The probability for over 2.5 goals is only 33% according to the model
概述
Instituto (13th place, 11 points) host Defensa y Justicia (4th place, 19 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on April 7, 2026, 2:15 AM
Defensa y Justicia aims to improve their top table position, while Instituto seeks to move away from the bottom ranks
近期状态
Instituto's form is DLLWL
This represents 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 games
The last match ended in a loss
Defensa y Justicia's form is DDDWW
This represents 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 games
The team has won the last 2 matches
统计数据
Instituto scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.36 goals per game this season
At home, the average is 1.00 goals scored and 0.78 goals conceded
The team kept 1 clean sheet and both teams scored in 6 games
Defensa y Justicia scored an average of 1.36 goals and conceded 0.73 goals per game this season
Away, the average is 1.29 goals scored and 0.57 goals conceded
The team kept 5 clean sheets and both teams scored in 6 games
历史交锋
There has been 1 head-to-head match so far
Instituto won the only encounter
The goal difference of 4:1 clearly favors Instituto
The last match ended on August 24, 2024, with a 4:1 victory for Instituto
关键球员
For Instituto, Alex Luna (4 goals, 1 assist), Giuliano Cerato (2 goals, 1 assist), and Diego Sosa (1 goal, 1 assist) are key players
Alex Luna shows a slightly declining form with a rating of 6.72 in the last 5 games
Giuliano Cerato and Diego Sosa are in stable form with ratings of 6.89 and 6.76 respectively in the last 5 games
For Defensa y Justicia, Aarón Molinas (2 goals, 4 assists), Juan Gutiérrez (3 goals, 2 assists), and Elías Pereyra (2 goals) are important players
Aarón Molinas and Juan Gutiérrez are in stable form, as is Elías Pereyra
Not nominated for Defensa y Justicia is Rubén Botta (1 goal, 1 assist)
门将
Manuel Roffo is Instituto's goalkeeper and has 1 clean sheet
Cristopher Fiermarín is Defensa y Justicia's goalkeeper and has 5 clean sheets