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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Unión Santa Fe - Deportivo Riestra

04/03/2026, 08:15 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Unión Santa Fe
1.3
Total xG
2.0
Deportivo Riestra
0.7
最可能的比分

1:0

16%

0:0

15%

1:1

14%

2:0

11%

0:1

8%
xG 分解
USFDR

Unión Santa Fe

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.07
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.45倍)
+0.05
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第14位, 相差7位)
+0.04
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.02

Deportivo Riestra

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均0.8球)
+0.15
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.11
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.2球)
-0.07
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第7位, 相差7位)
-0.06

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.49
-0.49
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

48%

平局

33%

客胜

20%

进球数

Over 1.5

61%

Under 1.5

39%

Over 2.5

32%

Under 2.5

68%

Over 3.5

14%

Under 3.5

86%

双重机会

主胜或平局

80%

客胜或平局

52%

非平局

67%

双方进球

39%

61%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Unión Santa Fe with a 48% probability
  • Unión Santa Fe's home defense is very strong, conceding an average of 0.25 goals and keeping 4 clean sheets in 4 home games
  • Deportivo Riestra shows significant offensive weaknesses, with an average of only 0.27 goals per game and 8 matches without scoring
风险因素
  • The data situation for totalDuels is limited
  • The mathematical model predicts a draw with a considerable probability of 33%
概述

Unión Santa Fe host Deportivo Riestra in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

The match takes place on April 3, 2026, 9:15 PM

Unión Santa Fe are in 7th place with 16 points

Deportivo Riestra are in 14th place with 7 points

The mathematical analysis predicts Unión Santa Fe to win with a 48% probability

近期状态

Unión Santa Fe's current form is 'WWDDL' (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The home team recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches

The last result was a 0-2 away loss against Defensa y Justicia

Deportivo Riestra's current form is 'DDDLD'

The away team achieved 0 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches

The last result was a 1-1 home draw against San Lorenzo

统计数据

Unión Santa Fe scored an average of 1.45 goals per game this season and conceded 1.09 goals

The home team kept 4 clean sheets

Deportivo Riestra scored an average of only 0.27 goals per game and conceded 0.64 goals

The away team kept 4 clean sheets

At home, Unión Santa Fe scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 0.25 goals

Unión Santa Fe kept 4 clean sheets in home games

Deportivo Riestra scored an average of 0.25 goals in away games and conceded 1.0 goal

Deportivo Riestra kept 1 clean sheet in away games

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between the teams so far

This one encounter ended in a 0-0 draw on August 31, 2024

Both teams scored 0 goals in direct encounters

The history shows an 'even' balance

关键球员

For Unión Santa Fe, Mateo Del Blanco is a key player with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games, an average rating of 7.48, and a rising form trend

Cristian Tarragona, an attacker, scored 3 goals in the last 5 games and shows stable form with an average rating of 7.21

Rafael Profini contributed 5 assists in the last 5 games and has a rising form trend with an average rating of 7.21

Deportivo Riestra's attacker Antony Alonso scored 1 goal in the last 5 games, has an average rating of 6.80, and shows stable form

Cristian Paz has stable form with an average rating of 6.76

Matias Garcia shows a rising form trend with an average rating of 6.69

门将

Unión Santa Fe's goalkeeper Matías Mansilla had 4 clean sheets this season

Deportivo Riestra's goalkeeper Ignacio Arce also recorded 4 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Unión Santa Fe shows a strong defensive performance at home, conceding an average of 0.25 goals per game

The home team kept a clean sheet in all 4 home games this season

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