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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Talleres Córdoba - Boca Juniors

04/02/2026, 11:30 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Talleres Córdoba
1.2
Total xG
2.2
Boca Juniors
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

1:0

12%

0:1

9%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
TCBJ

Talleres Córdoba

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.25倍)
+0.19
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.16
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
-0.12
Giovanni Baroni未进大名单 (0球, 3助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)

Boca Juniors

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.26倍)
+0.23
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
-0.11
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.05
Leandro Paredes替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
Santiago Ascacíbar替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
41%进球产出缺失 (仅57%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.49
-0.49
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

32%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

62%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

68%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Talleres Córdoba with a 40% probability and a double chance of home win or draw with 73%
  • Boca Juniors shows a positive form trend and dominant possession play with an average of 4.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Talleres Córdoba possesses a stable home defense with an average of 0.67 goals conceded per home game
风险因素
  • Boca Juniors are missing key players such as Leandro Paredes (1 goal, 3 assists) and Santiago Ascacíbar (2 goals, 0 assists), leaving only 58% of the usual starting eleven's goal threat available
  • Talleres Córdoba recorded an average of 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 matches
  • The historical record shows that Talleres Córdoba has not yet managed to win against Boca Juniors in two direct encounters (1 draw, 1 loss)
概述

Talleres Córdoba (5th place, 18 points) host Boca Juniors (4th place) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

The match takes place on April 3, 2026, 12:30 AM

Talleres aims to improve its position in the upper mid-table

近期状态

Talleres Córdoba's form across all competitions is LDWDW

The team recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 games

Their last outing was a 2-1 away win against Independiente

Boca Juniors' form across all competitions is DWDDW

The team achieved 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses in their last 5 games

They recently secured a 2-0 home win against Instituto

The mathematical analysis describes Talleres' current form as stable

Boca Juniors shows a positive form trend

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Talleres Córdoba scores an average of 1.09 goals and concedes 0.91 goals per season

At home, they average 1.17 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded per game

The team kept 4 clean sheets and both teams scored in 6 matches

Boca Juniors scores an average of 1.18 goals and concedes 0.64 goals per game

Away from home, they score 1.20 goals and concede 1.00 goals

Boca Juniors kept 6 clean sheets and both teams scored in 5 matches

Talleres Córdoba consistently scores (~1.3 goals per game)

Boca Juniors currently scores more frequently (1.6) than their season average (1.4)

历史交锋

In two head-to-head matches between Talleres Córdoba and Boca Juniors, there was one draw and one away win for Talleres

Talleres Córdoba scored 2 goals, while Boca Juniors managed 0 goals

The last encounter saw Talleres win 2-0 away on November 23, 2025

关键球员

For Talleres Córdoba, Ronaldo Martínez (2 goals, 1 assist), Augusto Schott (2 goals), and Rick (1 goal, 1 assist) are key players

For Boca Juniors, Miguel Merentiel (4 goals, 1 assist), Adam Bareiro (1 goal, 1 assist), and Tomás Aranda (1 goal) stand out

门将

Guido Herrera is the goalkeeper for Talleres Córdoba with an average season rating of 7.01

The team kept 4 clean sheets

Leandro Brey is in goal for Boca Juniors

The team recorded 6 clean sheets

影响因素

Talleres Córdoba has scored an average of 1.17 goals and conceded 0.67 goals at home

Boca Juniors scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.00 goals away from home

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