Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Sarmiento - Gimnasia La Plata
04/13/2026, 07:30 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.0
0.7
1:0
16%0:0
15%1:1
14%2:0
11%0:1
8%xG 分解
Sarmiento
Gimnasia La Plata
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
33%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
61%
Under 1.5
39%
Over 2.5
32%
Under 2.5
68%
Over 3.5
14%
Under 3.5
86%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
39%
否
61%
关键因素
- Sarmiento's strong home defense with an average of 0.5 goals conceded meets Gimnasia's weaker away defense with an average of 1.6 goals conceded
- Sarmiento's positive form with 3 wins in the last 5 games contrasts with Gimnasia's 3 consecutive losses
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 47% probability and 1.26 expected goals for Sarmiento
风险因素
- Sarmiento recorded an average of only 2.8 shots on target in the last 5 games
- Gimnasia La Plata recently showed a declining form trend for key players like Nicolás Barros Schelotto (-0.24 delta) and Alexis Steimbach (-0.22 delta)
概述
Sarmiento (10th place, 16 points) hosts Gimnasia La Plata in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol
The match takes place on April 13, 2026, at 4:30 PM
The mathematical analysis favors Sarmiento with a 47% probability of winning
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Sarmiento shows strong form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
They won their last two games (W W)
Gimnasia La Plata has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 games
They have suffered 3 consecutive losses recently (L L L)
统计数据
Sarmiento averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per game this season
At home, they are defensively strong with an average of 0.5 goals conceded per home game
Gimnasia La Plata averages 1.08 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per game
Away from home, Gimnasia La Plata conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game
Sarmiento had both teams score in 4 of their season matches, Gimnasia La Plata in 6 matches
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 4 Sarmiento games and in 7 Gimnasia La Plata games
历史交锋
In 3 head-to-head matches, there has been 1 away win for Gimnasia La Plata and 2 draws
Sarmiento has not won any of the previous encounters
The last match ended on October 04, 2025, with a 0:1 away victory for Gimnasia La Plata
Sarmiento scored a total of 1 goal and Gimnasia La Plata scored 2 goals in these matches
Gimnasia La Plata has been more dominant in recent head-to-head games
关键球员
Sarmiento's Junior Marabel is a key offensive player with 6 goals and 2 assists, his form is rising
Carlos Villalba contributed 1 goal, his form is also rising
Juan Manuel Insaurralde shows a rising form trend
Julián Contrera is not nominated and contributed 0 goals and 2 assists to the usual starting lineup strength
For Gimnasia La Plata, Marcelo Torres scored 4 goals and 1 assist, his form is stable
Nicolás Barros Schelotto contributed 3 goals and 2 assists, but his form is declining
Enzo Martínez scored 2 goals, his form is stable
Manuel Panaro is not nominated and contributed 1 goal and 1 assist to the usual starting lineup strength
门将
Sarmiento fields Javier Burrai as goalkeeper, who achieved 4 clean sheets this season
For Gimnasia La Plata, Nelson Insfrán is in goal, with 1 clean sheet this season
影响因素
Sarmiento shows an average home goal difference of +0.38 goals per game
They scored 0.88 home goals and conceded 0.5 home goals per match
Gimnasia La Plata scores an average of 1 goal per away game and concedes 1.6 away goals