🇦🇷

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Barracas Central

04/12/2026, 12:45 AM

1 : 2
预期进球
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
1.0
Total xG
1.8
Barracas Central
0.7
最可能的比分

0:0

19%

1:0

16%

1:1

15%

0:1

11%

2:0

9%
xG 分解
EDRCBC

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.51
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.67倍)
-0.09
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0球)
-0.09
状态下滑 (0 vs 0.3 赛季平均)
-0.09
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第9位, 相差6位)
-0.07
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
-0.01
主场表现强势 (场均0.8球 vs 总体0.3球)
全员可用

Barracas Central

防守不足 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均0.8球)
+0.25
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.52倍)
-0.23
状态上升 (1.5 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.12
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.11
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.03
排名优势 (第9位 vs 第15位, 相差6位)
+0.02
Facundo Bruera替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
16%进球产出缺失 (仅87%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.4球 vs 总体1.1球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.46
-0.46
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

36%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

54%

Under 1.5

46%

Over 2.5

26%

Under 2.5

74%

Over 3.5

10%

Under 3.5

90%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

61%

非平局

64%

双方进球

35%

65%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 39% probability, but a draw is also highly likely at 36%
  • Estudiantes de Río Cuarto displays an extremely weak offense with 0.25 goals per game, especially at home with an average of only 0.25 goals
  • Barracas Central demonstrates better current form than the hosts, with 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
风险因素
  • Estudiantes de Río Cuarto failed to score in 10 of 12 season matches and recently averaged 1.4 shots on target, indicating few chances created
  • Barracas Central adopted a counter-attacking style in their last 5 matches with an average of 35% possession and 3.0 shots on target
概述

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (15th place, 5 points) host Barracas Central (9th place, 16 points). Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on April 12, 2026, 1:45 AM. The hosts are in a relegation battle, while the visitors are in the mid-table

近期状态

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's form across all competitions is LLLLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). They have 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last 5 matches. Their last result was a draw. Barracas Central shows a form of DWWDL. This corresponds to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches. Their last result was a loss

统计数据

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto averages 0.25 goals scored and 1.42 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they average 0.25 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded. The team kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score in 10 matches. Both teams scored in 1 game, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 matches. Barracas Central averages 0.92 goals scored and 0.92 goals conceded per game. Away from home, they average 1.0 goal scored and 1.67 goals conceded. They kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score in 5 matches. Both teams scored in 6 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 matches

历史交锋

No historical head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Río Cuarto and Barracas Central were found in the dataset

关键球员

For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto: Mateo Bajamich (1 goal, 0 assists in 11 season appearances) scored 1 goal in his last 5 games. Martín Garnerone (1 goal, 0 assists in 12 season appearances). Siro Rosané (0 goals, 1 assist in 12 season appearances). For Barracas Central: Rodrigo Insúa (3 goals, 0 assists in 12 season appearances) scored 2 goals in his last 5 games. Iván Tapia (1 goal, 1 assist in 12 season appearances) provided 1 assist in his last 5 games. Jhonatan Candia (1 goal, 0 assists in 10 season appearances) scored 1 goal in his last 5 games. Facundo Bruera (1 goal, 1 assist) is not in the squad

门将

For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto, Agustín Lastra is available, who kept 3 clean sheets this season. For Barracas Central, Juan Espínola is the goalkeeper, also with 3 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto scored an average of 0.25 goals at home and conceded 0.5 goals. Barracas Central scored an average of 1.0 goal away and conceded 1.67 goals. No specific data on venue history or weather influences is available

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。