🇦🇷

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Vélez Sarsfield - Central Cordoba SdE

04/14/2026, 12:30 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
Vélez Sarsfield
1.2
Total xG
1.8
Central Cordoba SdE
0.6
最可能的比分

1:0

18%

0:0

18%

1:1

14%

2:0

12%

0:1

8%
xG 分解
VSCCS

Vélez Sarsfield

排名优势 (第2位 vs 第13位, 相差11位)
+0.06
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.65倍)
-0.02
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.02
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
-0.01
Manuel Lanzini替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
11%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)

Central Cordoba SdE

防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.63
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.68倍)
-0.33
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.15
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第2位, 相差11位)
-0.08
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.45
-0.45
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

49%

平局

34%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

56%

Under 1.5

44%

Over 2.5

28%

Under 2.5

72%

Over 3.5

11%

Under 3.5

89%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

51%

非平局

66%

双方进球

34%

66%

关键因素
  • Favorites: The mathematical analysis projects a home win for Vélez Sarsfield with a probability of 49%
  • Away Weakness: Central Cordoba SdE concedes an average of 5.5 goals per away game, indicating significant defensive issues
  • Tactical Approach: Central Cordoba SdE showed a counter-oriented approach in their last 5 games with an average of 2.4 shots on target
风险因素
  • Home Team Dip in Form: Vélez Sarsfield recorded two consecutive losses recently
  • Low Goal Expectation: The pipeline projects a low probability for Over 2.5 goals (28%) and for both teams to score (34%)
  • Away Team Low Scoring: Central Cordoba SdE scores only an average of 0.5 goals per away game
概述

Vélez Sarsfield (2nd place, 22 points) host Central Cordoba SdE (13th place, 12 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

The match is scheduled for April 13, 2026, 9:30 PM

Vélez Sarsfield aims to close the gap to the top of the table, while Central Cordoba SdE needs crucial points in their fight against relegation

近期状态

Vélez Sarsfield's recent form is WDWLL (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)

They have suffered two consecutive losses recently

Central Cordoba SdE's form is LDWLL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)

The away team also recorded two successive defeats

统计数据

Vélez Sarsfield scores an average of 1.17 goals per game and concedes 0.75 goals

In home games, they average 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded

The team kept 5 clean sheets and saw both teams score in 6 matches

Central Cordoba SdE scores an average of 0.5 goals per game and concedes 1.25 goals

In away games, they score 0.5 goals and concede an average of 5.5 goals

The team kept 5 clean sheets and saw both teams score in 2 matches

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams so far

Vélez Sarsfield won this match with a score of 2-0

Central Cordoba SdE has not secured a victory yet

The last encounter was on July 29, 2024, with Vélez Sarsfield winning 2-0 away

关键球员

For Vélez Sarsfield, Matías Pellegrini (3 goals, 1 assist, avg 7.03 rating), Florián Monzón (3 goals, 0 assists, avg 6.85 rating) and Dilan Godoy (0 goals, 3 assists, avg 6.74 rating) are important attacking forces

For Central Cordoba SdE, Michael Santos (3 goals, 1 assist, avg 6.89 rating), Diego Barrera (2 goals, 0 assists, avg 6.73 rating) and Ezequiel Naya (1 goal, 0 assists, avg 6.75 rating) stand out

门将

Vélez Sarsfield's goalkeeper, Álvaro Montero, has made 12 appearances with 5 clean sheets and an average rating of 7.23

For Central Cordoba SdE, Alan Aguerre played in 12 games, kept 5 clean sheets, and achieved an average rating of 7.04

影响因素

Vélez Sarsfield shows a solid performance at home with an average of 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded

Central Cordoba SdE is vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 5.5 goals per away game

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。